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Watching the events in Syria, it is apparent that the fall of the Assad regime was, in part, because Russia couldn't maintain another military front. After a decade of bombing the shit out of Syrians, creating another generation of enemies, they pulled ships off the Syrian coast, abandoned their military bases in Syria and then took in Assad as a political refugee.Rzzzia also lost a lot of the young to fleeing the country in 2022, before they effectively closed the borders,
I don't remember the source of the article but I read one last week where demographic studies show rrrZZZia in deep trouble in not too many years because of their endless wars throwing away their people.
It is beleived that besides just naked cowardice preventing full scale conscription, it is a recognition of the impact on the western Rus population particularly that has the Kremlin buying North Koreans for their meat grinder.
The Russian pattern of putting generals on the front lines and then throwing poorly trained bodies at the front comes with a high casualty rate. It's also expensive- they are paying big bonuses to get more bodies to enlist and then having to replace the new meat with another round of conscripts, prisoners and foreign nationals.
Russians are used to terrible conditions, but one of the most underreported stories is the spiraling Russian economy and its impact on the Russian populace. Russia is spending one-third of their budget on their wars. Death benefits for fallen soldiers is 6% of their budget!
In spite of Tucker Carlson's claims about how great Russia is, their interest rates are headed upward to the low 20% range, as their central bank tries to tamp down inflation, which is still in the double digits. Unless something changes, like Trump's cronies trying to undo the sanctions on Russia, the situation is going to reach a slow boil as they head into winter.
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