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On Topic Discussion 2019 Coronavirus (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2)

Hi Belamo. We're only about 25% fully vaxed at the moment with about 40% having had 1 jab. Our problem has been supply. We chose pfizer but the company couldn't start supplying until the 2nd half of the year. But they say we've got enough to vax everyone by Christmas now. At the moment covid is confined to Auckland. 82 cases today. But we've been pretty much been covid free for most of the pandemic so far. It was wishful thinking to believe we could remain that way forever.
 
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^ Given that the metro area of Auckland must be around 25%, maybe they should have started the vaccination by restricting in to that area.
We can assume that being isolated from everyone else in the planet, having a relatively little population and, most important, a very well-managed economy and with a tight pandemic policy, vaccination must have been pretty down on the list both for supplies and for political and public concern.
 
belamo said:
^ Given that the metro area of Auckland must be around 25%, maybe they should have started the vaccination by restricting in to that area.
We can assume that being isolated from everyone else in the planet, having a relatively little population and, most important, a very well-managed economy and with a tight pandemic policy, vaccination must have been pretty down on the list both for supplies and for political and public concern.
Click to expand...
New Zealand has done the recommended prioritization - starting with age 65 and older and lowering the bottom limit by 5 years every week (i.e. age >60 then age >55, etc). They have progressed to where they will be doing age 12 and older starting next week.

The problem, as justaguy mentioned, was that they didn't get their supply of the Pfizer vaccine until July (over 6 months after the US), so they didn't start until the last week of July with their mass vaccination campaign. The restrictions they put in place have kept their cases under 3,000 with only 26 deaths over the past 18 months. Unfortunately, Delta variant has gotten into New Zealand, so the race is on to get everyone vaccinated in the next 60 days before Delta gets entrenched in the population.

The place to watch- that isn't getting covered- is Africa. Africa reported 248,000 new cases this week and they are projected to have 1,000,000 new infections in the next month. Between 800 to 1,000 deaths are reported daily (which is likely an undercount). Delta has been reported in 24 countries in Africa. There's 1 billion people on the continent and the WHO estimates that less than 3% of the population is vaccinated. Vaccine resistance is very high because of religious beliefs and the history of HIV spread through mass vaccination in the past.
 
KaraBulut said:
New Zealand has done the recommended prioritization - starting with age 65 and older and lowering the bottom limit by 5 years every week (i.e. age >60 then age >55, etc). They have progressed to where they will be doing age 12 and older starting next week.
Click to expand...
One assumes certain sectors have a priority above all other considerations: I was talking of also prioritizing areas which are the mass equivalent of individuals whose health is more threatened by the virus.

- - - Updated - - -

We are all doomed: Africa is merely going first.
 
belamo said:
One assumes certain sectors have a priority above all other considerations: I was talking of also prioritizing areas which are the mass equivalent of individuals whose health is more threatened by the virus.
Click to expand...
I was actually wondering if they would prioritize their indigenous population first. Fortunately, they did get enough vaccine in the past month to vaccinate everyone who is eligible. They do have a challenge because they have a lot of remote, rural areas but 40% of population receiving first dose is pretty impressive.
 
KaraBulut said:
I was actually wondering if they would prioritize their indigenous population first. Fortunately, they did get enough vaccine in the past month to vaccinate everyone who is eligible. They do have a challenge because they have a lot of remote, rural areas
Click to expand...

Hence the logic of prioritizing denser areas, or with close links with dense areas, which amounts to the same: it's all about circulation, not mere population.
 
KaraBulut said:
Meanwhile in the land of those who don't have to worry about having a roof over their head...

Supreme Court throws out Biden administration eviction moratorium [CNN]
Click to expand...

An estimated 11.4 million American adults are behind on their rent, and Congress has appropriated about $46 billion to help renters and landlords.
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Maybe I should try to get some of the eight months rent the guy owes me (whose stuff is STILL on my property) who I managed to evict for cause.
 
Kulindahr said:
Maybe I should try to get some of the eight months rent the guy owes me (whose stuff is STILL on my property) who I managed to evict for cause.
Click to expand...

Oregon received an allocation of $220 million from the American Rescue Plan.
Wyden, Merkley: Oregon to Receive More than $220 Million in Additional Emergency Rental Assistance [Wyden's Senate website]

The goal of the legislation was to pay landlords to avoid evictions. Since you evicted him during the moratorium, you have probably forfeited your opportunity to be paid from the fund.
 
KaraBulut said:
I was actually wondering if they would prioritize their indigenous population first. Fortunately, they did get enough vaccine in the past month to vaccinate everyone who is eligible. They do have a challenge because they have a lot of remote, rural areas but 40% of population receiving first dose is pretty impressive.
Click to expand...

Yep, indigenous Maori and Pacifica people have been targetted. Although there is also some hesitancy due to misinformation people are reading on the internet. Some experts still haven't given up hope that we can extinguish this outbreak. If we can, it will antagonize the right wingers worldwide no end. Personally, I'm a little pessimistic.
 
It's actually a true binary situation we are dealing with: it either has spread or it hasn't; "further spreading" means one has lost the "contention" war, and you can only fight the extent of the disaster.
It's exactly like a wildfire: once it becomes a wildfire... You spoke of dozens of people "somehoww" having been infected through one original carrier, and in the most densely populated part of the country.
 
If last night you happened to arrive by train to Barcelona, you would have been greeted by this:

529



The last night of the [younger] people's version of the Sants Festival.
 
belamo said:
It's actually a true binary situation we are dealing with: it either has spread or it hasn't; "further spreading" means one has lost the "contention" war, and you can only fight the extent of the disaster.
It's exactly like a wildfire: once it becomes a wildfire... You spoke of dozens of people "somehoww" having been infected through one original carrier, and in the most densely populated part of the country.
Click to expand...

A kiwi came back from Sydney and it got out of quarantine. They are saying it passed to more than 100 people before it was noticed and before 1 guy fell ill. There was a superspreader event at a church service. Now it's passed to all their family members. Due to strict lockdown they are reporting the R number today as 0.8. Anything under 1 means the outbreak is diminishing rather than expanding. There is high adherence to the lockdown here so far.
 
justaguy said:
A kiwi came back from Sydney and it got out of quarantine. They are saying it passed to more than 100 people before it was noticed and before 1 guy fell ill. There was a superspreader event at a church service. Now it's passed to all their family members. Due to strict lockdown they are reporting the R number today as 0.8. Anything under 1 means the outbreak is diminishing rather than expanding. There is high adherence to the lockdown here so far.
Click to expand...

Well, we have under 0.8 and you see the panorama in the streets, the beaches for the past weeks, particularly at night.

According to our experience during the pandemic, having a Rt around 0.8 or 0.7 only means you are containing a flow that will break out free again from the very moment you ease the tight control of restrictions... just like with the Western troops in Afghanistan.
 
justaguy said:
Is there a sense that the pandemic is over in Spain now?
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No, we are barely out of the 5th wave, and already waiting for the 6th one... actually 7th one, but nobody cared about last summer's, because it was mostly a BCN and Madrid thing.

But it's Spain... it's summer (still one month to go, and kids not studying abroad -that includes local "foreign schools", which act like learning embassies- still have two more full weeks or so)... people have procrastinated the 2nd Pfizer dose until the end of their holidays... you get the idea. It's not over, but people revel like it's over, for as long as the bug leaves their lungs alone: the festivals of Gràcia and Sants give young people the ease to fancy it's all back to normal... and neighbours are left with the impression that partying is worse than ever before; inland camping parks and guest houses in the countryside have been full... and even BCN, the hardest hit by the crisis, has had half the hotels that dared to open at around 70% occupation.
One of the reasons that the effects of this latter wave have eased so sharply in BCN city (outskirst is a different matter) is because the middle class people were all away and abroad.

In short, we have got through the pandemic holding in and bursting out: officially, five times.

It's funny how now, at the end of winter in NZ, you are just the way it was at the end of winter 2020 in Western Europe and the USA.
 
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28-Aug-2021 update on the Summer Olympics:
  • The "official" case count for the Tokyo Olympics: 546 up from 258
Japan: Weekly New Cases For Past Month:
  • 31-Jul: 60,732
  • 07-Aug: 90,671
  • 14-Aug: 130,858
  • 21-Aug: 135,271
  • 28-Aug: 156,955

KaraBulut said:
21-Aug-2021 The numbers for the Olympics are in:
  • The "official" case count for the Tokyo Olympics: 258
  • So far, at the ParaOlympics, there have been 144 positives
  • Last week, Japan reported 135,271 new cases. Before the Olympic preparations began in June, Japan had been averaging about 5,000-6,000 new cases per week.
  • The higher new case count for the past month indicates the effect of the increased travel into Japan for the Olympics:

Japan: Weekly New Cases For Past Month:
  • 31-Jul: 60,732
  • 07-Aug: 90,671
  • 14-Aug: 130,858
  • 21-Aug: 135,271
Click to expand...
 
Top US State Stats: 28-Aug-2021

US States With Highest Number of New Cases this week:
  1. Florida: 151,760
  2. Texas: 106,976
  3. California: 91,481
  4. Georgia: 62,842
  5. North Carolina: 44,402
  6. Tennessee: 44,348
  7. South Carolina: 32,606
  8. Louisiana: 29,881
  9. New York: 29,810
  10. Ohio: 29,140
US States/Territories With Highest Percentage Growth in New Cases this week:
  1. Hawaii: 9.7%
  2. Guam: 9.2%
  3. Oregon: 6.1%
  4. Kentucky: 5.3%
  5. Mississippi: 5.3%
  6. Florida: 4.9%
  7. West Virginia: 4.9%
  8. Georgia: 4.8%
  9. South Carolina: 4.8%
  10. Louisiana: 4.6%
US States/Territories With Highest Weekly Death Numbers:
  1. Florida: 1,727
  2. Texas: 1,351
  3. California: 597
  4. Louisiana: 441
  5. Georgia: 354
  6. Mississippi: 288
  7. North Carolina: 260
  8. Missouri: 250
  9. South Carolina: 239
  10. Alabama: 219
US States/Territories With Lowest Percentage Growth in New Cases this week:
  1. North Dakota: 1.7%
  2. Maryland: 1.7%
  3. Pennsylvania: 1.7%
  4. Minnesota: 1.7%
  5. Massachusetts: 1.4%
  6. Michigan: 1.3%
  7. New York: 1.3%
  8. Connecticut: 1.3%
  9. New Jersey: 1.3%
  10. Rhode Island: 1.2%
Weekly New Case and Death Numbers for Florida and Texas:
Florida:
  • 24-Jul: 73,166 new cases / 282 deaths
  • 31-Jul: 110,724 new cases / 409 deaths
  • 07-Aug: 134,751 new cases / 616 deaths
  • 14-Aug: 151,764 new cases / 1,071 deaths
  • 21-Aug: 150,740 new cases / 1,486 deaths
  • 28-Aug: 151,760 new cases / 1,727 deaths
Texas:
  • 24-Jul: 36,451 new cases / 190 deaths
  • 31-Jul: 62,722 new cases / 271 deaths
  • 07-Aug: 96,807 new cases / 384 deaths
  • 14-Aug: 98,447 new cases / 628 deaths
  • 21-Aug: 124,969 new cases / 937 deaths
  • 28-Aug: 106,976 new cases / 1,351 deaths
 
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