A good chunk of the Canadians that follow politics closely have been pretty upset with Harper's behaviour. The problem is that the broad scope of Canadians has had this perception that, right or wrong, and despite the arrogance and troubling behaviour in the commons, the Tories are managerially competent, good with the books, and good custodians of the economy. It remains to be seen whether this perception has been eroded to any great extent.
The problem is, as most Canadians should be aware, is that provincially speaking the Conservatives are not sound prudent managers. And federally speaking, if the opposition hadn't pushed for stimulus spending (and if the prior governments had put in place regulations and such on the banks), Canada would be in worse shape. The Conservatives did little, if anything, to reap the benefits they claimed to have produced.
The Liberals' best shot in Quebec is to not put money into the province so the Bloc takes as many seats from the Tories as possible. If the public does decide they don't want to put up with the Tories anymore, the NDP stand to lose substantially. Swing voters would move to the Liberals since they are the only ones who have a chance to replace the Tories. Strategic voting in action. The NDP have seen this before and lost because of it, another reason why there is still a chance that they might find a reason to support the government before the week is out.
I seem to recall the NDP actually heating up in Quebec polling numbers, so who knows how that will play out. The Tories will try to buy the Bloc this week, no doubt, which may prompt the Bloc to support the budget and maybe even vote no in a non-confidence measure.
Wishful thinking. 'Coalition' has about a negative of a connotation as 'Dion' these days thanks to the antics of the Opposition a couple of years ago and the Tory attack ads. You should be careful what you wish for, too. When it looked like the coalition had a decent shot of forming government, NDP polling numbers dropped big time along with the coalition's overall support. I'd be surprised if the coalition lasted a year, anyway, especially if they depend on Bloc support like they would have last time.
Actually, I think with other Parliamentary democracies being placed into coalition situations, Canadians may actually warm up to the idea...Since they see the rest of the world functioning within that system. The UK and Australia have their coalitions, and Canada might be able to jump on board as well.
I think the fact that coalitions have been formed out of elections, might spur Canadians to recheck whether or not Harper's accusations of 'treason' and other naughty words as an assessment of the coalition.
Of course, this is easier done if the NDP/Liberals are able to form a coalition without the Bloc getting involved, by keeping or increasing their current seats.
The parties might take an initial drop in the polls if they form a coalition, but if they manage to get things done that would change over time.
Iggy will be gone by the summer if he loses an election (a prospect I find quite exciting), too. So if you think he is as poisonous to the Liberal cause as I do, that makes an election a bit of a win-win for the Liberal Party.
The problem is, for a long time, the Liberals don't have an heir apparent. What happened to Frank McKenna? Allan Rock? Hell, even Shelia Copps...
As for the NDP, I think Layton's been a decent enough leader...Though Thomas Mulcair is clearly positioning himself for a run at the leadership when Layton does step aside; and having met him in person, I think he's got the gusto to be a damned fine leader as well.