I predict a Romney victory because...............

[rareboy]

Hey BV.

If wishes were horses all beggars would ride.

But as Just Believe points out that ax you are grinding always still has the same dull edge.

But keep wishing there.

 

[scream4ever]

Real Clear Politics has a map showing: BO 237, toss up 131, Romney 170. The 11 toss ups are states which often go Republican but not always. OH, FL, VA usually vote Republican, with 60 votes. NC with 15 just voted against the Dems on gay marriage. Out of the remaining 7 states, he needs 20 votes to get to 270. Perhaps AZ 11, MO 10. The WI recall vote Tues will be very interesting.

-Obama could lose six of the tossup states which voted the least for him in 2008 (Arizona, Missori, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida) and he would still get 272 electoral votes. Also of note, many of the tossup states trended Democrat from 2000 to 2004.

-You can't conclude anything from the North Carolina vote. It was on a special election when turnout was low, and there are still many Dems who oppose gay marriage. Also, it was before Obama's endorsement.

-If Walker survives recall in Wisconsin, it will only be because the Democrats picked a poor candidate. Also, there is a good chance that the Wisconsin legislature will switch parties, given how many Republicans are up for recall (4 and only 1 flip is needed to change the Senate).

 

[Benvolio]

I was describing Gold as a hedge against currency inflation and collapse.

 

[chuck10x]

It's June and the election is roughly 5 months away, Obama and Romney are tied in the polls.
Bad news for Obama.
The economy still sucks and the jobs numbers still suck, People are frustrated and are still waiting for Hope and change.
Do not expect the people who turned out for Obama to return, Democrats are notorious non- voters.
Republicans on the other hand are pretty fired up, The racists, those against Obamacare, The social issue voters, All want him out.
Admit it, The fire to elect Obama is gone, many wish Hillary had won.
( My prediction)
Unless there is a miracle in the unemployment numbers and economy, Obama will lose by 5%.
However, the mid term elections will turn the House and Senate to Democratic control, Because the Republicans have done such a horrible job.

 

[Kulindahr]

Gold isn't though. And you are talking without basis again. Gold is a very risky investment right now because it's at a certain peak (and already has taken several serious hits in price). But then again sounds like survivalist hogwash to me.

If Romney is elected and the Republicans do the Ryan budget, they'll end the lingering recession by taking us into a second great depression. At that point gold will be worth a lot more than any dollars, because they'll have made the dollar worthless.

If you expect Obama to be reelected, buying gold is silly.

 

[Benvolio]

You really think Obama can continue to run annual trillion dollar deficits without inflation or dollar collapse?

 

[cocksucker4use]

Perhaps take lessons in Australian? Rosetta Stone is supposed to be a good way to learn a foreign language, and the Aussie economy is going well, too.

 

[chuck10x]

I think people are even more frustrated by the republican party. And this is a general election where democrats come out extensively more significantly. Many republicans don't even approve of Romney.
Many Republicans don't like Romney, But they Hate Obama and want nothing more than to kick Obama out of office.
The Democratic fire is gone for Obama, They may like him personally but the love is gone.
The mid-term elections is where the Republican Party will get hit hard for screwing everything up.



The economy has been steady... despite weaker recent data on jobs. I don't see Obama losing to someone as uninspiring as Mitt romney. Obama has a considerable lead when it comes to the electoral college (which matters more then national polling).

The economy is steady but it's still not good, kind of like holding on to the end of the rope.
Based on the economy and unemployment of the past 3 years, would anyone be inspired to keep the commander in chief in office?

 

[chance1]

Yep. Because OBama didn't create this mess and he's had a steady hand in helping this country move on the right direction. I'm sure many people realize the implications of electing Romney who has no clue about the economy. I think Obama inherited a mess. He didn't create it.

Obama has a significant advantage when it comes to the electoral college. And Mitt Romney has infighting in his own party.

what i read from the above is:

no responsibility taking - the president is responsible for nothing - anything that's bad is GWB's fault

Romney's strength is the economy - which is why Pres. Obama is desperately trying to discredit him with Bain, etc. - Bill Clinton, a far better President than Obama, just explained how lame that is - based on facts and tactics

Romney has NO infighting anymore - Republicans want to defeat Obama - Romney is their choice period

Right now the Electoral College favors Obama - for sure

That can change - as we know from history - and bad economic #s will not have the electorate saying "poor pres. obama - he inherited a mess"

instead it will be "we need change"

that got him elected - that can get him a defeat in November

james carville wrote about this democratic over confidence and you're exhibiting it all

not sure where you get your info from but I'd cancel the service and get real

 

[Kulindahr]

You really think Obama can continue to run annual trillion dollar deficits without inflation or dollar collapse?

The Republicans believe in magic: when they're in charge, trillion-dollar deficits are fine, and the debt doesn't matter; when Democrats are in charge, suddenly debts is dangerous.

By the behavior of the House Republicans, they don't believe there's anything wrong with running up debt, as long as their [STRIKE]hearts[/STRIKE] ideology [STRIKE]are[/STRIKE] is pure.

 

[JayQueer]

I'm open to listening to what the Romney campaign has to say.

One of my neighbors works for the Romney campaign, and she wants me to volunteer. She doesn't know that I'm gay though. She always asks when I'm going to get married (to a girl).

 

[Kulindahr]

I'm open to listening to what the Romney campaign has to say.

One of my neighbors works for the Romney campaign, and she wants me to volunteer. She doesn't know that I'm gay though. She always asks when I'm going to get married (to a girl).

Tell her you don't support public liars, and are turning Libertarian because they're honest.

 

[chrisrobin]

^^^because of voters like him... true American patriots!

 

[Stardreamer]

Obama's re-election was always going to turn on the economy that the fate of any President in a recession. If the economy is not looking promising come November he will lose. Comments on how bad a mess he 'inherited' or how much worse it might have been without him will only go so far and after 4 years begins to sound like excuses no matter how true they may be.

 

[Stardreamer]

All the facts in the world doesn't make a difference if the voter's overall perception is things are not getting better. It goes back to the old Reagan question and what the voter's 'think' the answer is "Are you better off than you were 4 years ago?" Presidents rightly or wrongly get the blame for the state of the economy. I personally think usually wrongly since the President doesn't really have that much power to improve the economy but that is the way of things. If the economy worsens or even just stays uncertain through November the voter's attitudes is going to turn towards 'change'.

 

[axlwhity]

Obama could easily lose that election if the economy gets worse. I personally don't understand how anyone would vote for Romney though. He's as inauthentic as it gets. He hasn't been able to explain what his vision for the country is (because he apparently doesn't have one). He doesn't seem to be driven by ideas or a core conviction but mainly by his desire to become President. The notion that he knows how to fix the economy because he worked at Bain sounds kinda strange to me. His economic concept (tax cuts, tax cuts, tax cuts) has been debunked several times. Having said that, the election will be decided by roughly a million independents in the Swing States. If they believe that the country is on the wrong track and if they believe that Obama hasn't been able to deliver on his promise to fix the economy, Romney will be the next President. It's unfair given that Obama proposed a new jobs bill last fall and the Republicans blocked it. According to estimates that act alone would have lowered the unemployment rate under 8 percent and nobody would be talking about Obama being a failure on the economy right now. But that's water under that bridge. People don't want to differentiate. It the economy gets worse they will always blame the one who's currently holding office.

 

[rareboy]

I'm open to listening to what the Romney campaign has to say.

One of my neighbors works for the Romney campaign, and she wants me to volunteer. She doesn't know that I'm gay though. She always asks when I'm going to get married (to a girl).

Well We all expect that you will tell her that you are a homo and in favour of gay marriage and will work hard to make this right a plank of the Republican party platform.

 

[Benvolio]

Talk about breaking ranks. Maureen Dowd wrote a NYTimes, editorial dumping BO about as hard as I have seen. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/03/o...-superhero.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1&ref=opinion
I am sure some will again accuse me of just repeating talking points. In fact, however, I never expected to see the day when I would refer with approval to a Dowd writing.

 

[evanrick]

Latest polls have Obama winning a narrow popular vote but a much larger electoral win

Latest employment figures suck

Stock market recently is a shit show - hope you guys sold some of your equities

shit can happen

Romney can win

My take is if Romney does win, it will be because the economy has crashed - which is not a good thing

your lying first of all.

second, the economy crashing would be a wonderful thing for Romney. until Obama calls him out on it.

why else would the tea-party plunge our recession into a double dip with their debt ceiling hostage situation?

you know consumer confidence and our credit rating was down graded as a result of house republicans?

you could at least pretend you give a damn about the economy, because right now you are just hedging.

wracked with guilt are we? Americans know house republicans don't care about the economy. They just care about themselves, its anti-American.

Gonna have to claim the moral high ground here for democrats. Now only if republicans only had any morals.

 

[chance1]

your lying first of all.

second, the economy crashing would be a wonderful thing for Romney. until Obama calls him out on it.

why else would the tea-party plunge our recession into a double dip with their debt ceiling hostage situation?

you know consumer confidence and our credit rating was down graded as a result of house republicans?

you could at least pretend you give a damn about the economy, because right now you are just hedging.

wracked with guilt are we? Americans know house republicans don't care about the economy. They just care about themselves, its anti-American.

Gonna have to claim the moral high ground here for democrats. Now only if republicans only had any morals.

Which part is the lie ?

You're ALL over the place btw

My take is pragmatic - yours is shrill dogma

Personally if I could choose between a strong economy and a Mitt Romney Election I'd take the former

You'd prefer depression and Obama