kallipolis
Know thyself
If memory serves me right, the party with the largest number of seats in the knesset is Kadima, which is a moderate party and not a member of the governing coalition. I believe they have one or two more seats than Netanyahu's party. Thus, I suspect a small shift in votes might result in a change of government.
The bigger the threat from Iran viz a viz the development of Iran's nuclear weapons industry, the more support for the Israeli hawks.
External threats determine the colour of Israeli governments, and the margin for that government's flexibility, when negotiating with their hostile neighbours.
Recent Israeli perceptions of growing threats from Iran does suggest that Israel will maintain an extra hard line, even in the face of the US government's hope that the settlement's expansion policy will be frozen pending further negotiations.
In power Kadima could also be very hawkish in its negotiating position.
The very recent damage to Iran's nuclear weapons industry computer systems by Israeli hackers, does suggest that Iran's ability to develop, and launch nuclear weapons against Israel has been further delayed.
This bodes well for a more flexible response from Israel's current inflexible position on the settlements' continued expansion.
Time will tell. But with a weak United States administration I doubt whether the Israeli hawks will be persuaded by Ms Clinton. The current United States administration will not wish to jeopardize its support among American Jews.
Thus the United States government threat of cutting funding to Israel as a means of persuading Israel to temporise on its settlements programme would appear rather hollow.
















