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It's very frustrating. There's a pattern to news reporting in the middle east: they say one thing in Arabic, Hebrew, Farsi, Turkish and Urdu. Then, the English articles say something else, or it is biased to make the US look better....I have commented on the relative lack of actual information on the military wins being fed to the US households like they did with Iraq.
The real loser will be the United States. While the American public expects better health care, stronger education and a more stable economy, the US again finds itself drawn into another war in the middle east - this time on clearly on Israel’s behalf. For years, there has been debate in America over whether Israel exerts undue influence over US policy. The more conservative wing of the MAGA movement, which has long asked, “Is Israel effectively steering American policy?”, now believes their concerns have been confirmed.
What we are witnessing is Israel launching yet another war - a war that the United States is trapped in, and whose end remains uncertain. The arguments that are being used to justify the war sound familiar. They resemble the claims once made by Saddam Hussein in his conflict with Iran: that a dangerous state must be stopped before its missiles threaten distant nations. Or the claim repeated [by Israel] for nearly two decades: “If we waited just a few more weeks, Iran will have achieved nuclear capability.” These arguments have been heard many times in the past.
In the end, one can only say: Let us see what God will do.
What has been the Trump administration’s response to the March 1 cancellation of war-risk insurance, and is it feasible?
Major insurance companies announced on March 1 that they will be withdrawing war risk cover for ships in the region. But the cancellation is temporary and there will be a repricing of the cover. Immediately Trump responded by saying that the U.S. would offer “political risk coverage” through a relatively unknown government agency called the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation and providing naval escorts. The DFC usually gives loans to countries in the global south and hasn’t been in the business of marine insurance.
The potential liabilities accrued would be enormous if there are incidents like we saw in the Red Sea in 2023-24 with Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping. We’re talking about a shipping lane full of oil and gas tankers. The Red Sea is also a good lesson in the efficacy, or lack thereof of naval escorts. These were attempted in combatting piracy from 2008 onwards with limited effect.








