In her 1995 book Virtual Equality: The Mainstreaming of Gay and Lesbian Liberation, Urvashi Vaid made the point that there are two Americas. One is where the LGBTQ+ community is accepted, even welcomed, and sexuality is generally not an issue. This America exists largely on the coasts and in large urban areas. The other America is openly hostile to LGBTQ+ people, and is centered in the suburbs, small towns, and rural areas. From what I've seen, this split is just as true in 2021 as it ever was. In addition, it's becoming clear that this goes down the line on issue after issue. Right now America is stuck between the people who say let's move on into the 21st Century already! And those who want to take the country back to a time when you couldn't be openly gay, a time before Civil Rights, a time when we weren't aware of climate change, and they could deny that Covid exists and is dangerous-- well, you get the idea.
So, when you talk about whether America will be lesbian and gay friendly, you have to ask, which America? Unfortunately, how this will end up will depend on which America ends up winning what now looks to be an inevitable fight. Neither side is going to give on this, and the stage appears to be set for a sort of civil war-- or whatever the equivalent of a civil war will look like in the 21st Century.
On a personal note, I realize that I came from one America, and escaped to the other America. My parents came from white evangelical families from rural Florida and Alabama. I grew up in a homophobic Florida suburb in the 60s and 70s. But I came out as gay, and was with my lover for 14 years. Right now I live in a comparatively accepting metropolitan area of Florida, ironically in the same place I grew up. A lot of people have moved here, and changed the character of the place. But I don't have to go far to run into that other America in the state of Florida.