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On Topic Discussion 2019 Coronavirus (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2)

I see that the US managed to rack up another 1321 deaths yesterday. And 32, 284 new cases.

This is very sad.

Canada recorded another 1092 cases and 35 deaths. Also very sad.

And all the other hard hit countries still continue to add far too many new cases and experience too many deaths at a point where one would have thought that strict separation and quarantine measures would be showing results.

To all of the front line medical workers on JUB. Please stay safe.

Results are showing: the results of the infection previous to confinement, mainly during the first two weeks, as well as the results of confinement, in the past six days, with ratios of infection increase and of mortality falling from over 15% to just above 5%.
Since when two or three months of disaster can be expected to be solved in less than one.
The focus now should be in the management of the return to "relative" normality, which mainly involves the control of the infection: until vaccines and direct, aggressive treatments are available, the concern will be not goingback to early March conditions.
 
5-Apr-2020:

Global COVID-19 Mortality/Morbidity
- Cases reported: 1,213,927 (up from 1,030,628) - *‬**‬‬*‬*‬82,214 new cases yesterday
- Deaths: 65,652 (up from 59,140) - **‬*5,003‬ people died yesterday

US COVID-19 Mortality/Morbidity
- Cases reported in the US - 312,245 cases (up from 278,458 yesterday, ‬***‬‬‬‬‬*‬‬*33,787‬ new cases)
- Deaths reported in the US - 8,503 deaths, **1,101 new deaths yesterday, 22% of the world's new deaths were in the US

Coronavirus cases/deaths in active countries (preference to countries with JUB members):
  • Italy - 124,632 cases (down from 124,736) - 766 deaths
  • Spain - 130,759 (up from 119,827 / 9.1%) - 809 deaths
  • Germany - 96,108 cases (up from 91,159 / 5.4%) - 164 deaths
  • France - 90,853 cases (up from 83,029 / 9.4%) - 1,122 deaths
  • Iran - 58,226 cases (up from 55,743 / 4.5%) - 158 deaths
  • UK - 42,480 cases (up from 38,697 / 9.8%) - 4,313 deaths
  • Turkey - 23,934 cases (up from 30,921 / 14.4%) - 501 deaths
  • Switzerland - 20,510 cases (up from 19,702 / 4.1%) - 666 deaths
  • Netherlands - 16,729 cases (up from 15,821 / 5.7%) - 1,651 deaths
  • Canada - 14,018 cases (up from 12,545 / 11.7%) - 234 deaths
  • Brazil - 10,360 (up from 9,216 cases / 12.4%) - 445 deaths
  • Australia - 5,687 cases (up from 5,550 / 2.5%) - 35 deaths
  • Ireland - 4,604 (up from 4,273 / 7.7%) - 137 deaths
  • India - 3,588 (up from 3,082 / 16.4%) - 99 deaths
  • Mexico - 1,890 (up from 1,688 / 12.0%) - 79 deaths
  • New Zealand - 1,039 (up from 950 / 9.4%) - 1 death
Coronavirus cases/deaths in recovering countries:
  • China - 82,602 (up from 82,543 / 0%) - 3,333 deaths / 77,207 recovered
  • South Korea - 10,237 cases (up from 10,156 / 1.7%) - 183 deaths / 6,463 recovered

Individual States with high case counts:
  • New York - 114,174 (up from 103,169 / 10.7%) - 3,565 deaths
  • New Jersey - 34,124 (up from 29,895 / 14.1%) - 846 deaths
  • Michigan - 14,225 (up from 12,744 / 11.6%) - 540 deaths
  • California - 13,904 (up from 12,507 / 11.2%) - 324 deaths
  • Louisiana - 12,496 cases (up from 10,297 / 21.4%) - 409 deaths
  • Florida - 11,545 (up from 10,268 / 12.4%) - 195 deaths
  • Massachusetts - 11,736 (up from 10,402 / 12.8%) - 216 deaths
  • Illinois - 10,360 (up from 9,266 / 11.8%) - 245 deaths
  • Pennsylvania - 10,507 (up from 8,570 / 22.6%) - 139 deaths
  • Washington - 7,632 (up from 6,967 / 9.5%) - 318 deaths
  • Texas - 6,872 (up from 6,030 / 14.0%) - 122 deaths
  • Georgia - 6,383 (up from 5,967 / 7.0%) - 208 deaths
  • Connecticut - 5,276 (up from 4,914 / 7.4%) - 165 deaths
  • Colorado - 4,565 (up from 4,181 / 9.2%) - 126 deaths
  • Indiana - 3,953 (up from 3,437 / 15.0%) - 116 deaths
  • Tennessee - 3,322 (down from 3,068 / 8.3%) - 50 deaths

Canadian Province Stats:
  • Alberta - 1,181 (up from 1,075 / 9.9%) - 20 deaths
  • British Columbia - 1,203 (up from 1,174 / 2.5%) - 38 deaths
  • Manitoba - 194 (up from 182 / 6.6%) - 2 deaths
  • New Brunswick - 98 (up from 91 / 7.7%) - 0 deaths
  • Newfoundland/Labrador - 203 (up from 195 / 4.1%) - 1 deaths
  • Northwest Territories - 4 (unchanged from 4) - 0 deaths
  • Nova Scotia - 236 (up from 207 / 14.0%) - 0 deaths
  • Ontario - 3,630 (up from 3,255 /11.5%) - 94 deaths
  • Quebec - 6,997 (up from 6,101 / 14.7%) - 75 deaths
  • Prince Edward Island - 22 (unchanged from 22 /) - 0 deaths
  • Saskatchewan - 231 (up from 220 / 5.0%) - 3 deaths
  • Yukon - 6 (unchanged from 6) - 0 deaths
There were also 13 Canadians on the Grand Princess, one of whom died.
 
Where we are --
They don't seem scaled the same -- I tried to edit the top one since it looked stretched in the original -- but I'm posting it to show the relative positions of countries in the progression -- March 24 and April 4 shown. Of course we are dealing with incomplete data that also varies in quality with jurisdictions.

covidgraphs.jpg


Source https://www.zerohedge.com/health/where-world-corona-curve-moment
 

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^ What happened to Iran, there, it was shot out over the peak of the slope?
 
Flipped over to Fox briefly in time for one of their news anchors to say "nobody predicted how bad this was going to get". Couldn't believe what I was hearing.
 
Flipped over to Fox briefly in time for one of their news anchors to say "nobody predicted how bad this was going to get". Couldn't believe what I was hearing.

Over in the politics thread, I posted some TDS videos that tell the tale with Fox.

Kara Swisher, the Silicon Valley journalist also did a great editorial about her efforts to deprogram her mother from the Fox propaganda about the "coronavirus hoax". It's worth a read. It also made Hannity get his tits all in a knot.

Fox spent nearly a month being a COVID-19 denier. Then they started pushing "get back to work" narrative. Now, they are in the weird space where they are denying everything they did for the past 2 months while having former cardiologist and current charlatan Dr Oz on their show giving out false information about vitamins and miracle food. It's dangerous and unfortunately, their audience is high risk.
 
Re: So, apparently my city is the next coronavirus hot spot

Why should John Green's city miss all the fun?
 
Re: Coronavirus. Are you buying the hype?

Tiger at NYC's Bronx Zoo tests positive for coronavirus

"A tiger at the Bronx Zoo has tested positive for the new coronavirus, in what is believed to be the first known infection in an animal in the U.S. or a tiger anywhere, federal officials and the zoo said Sunday.

The 4-year-old Malayan tiger named Nadia — and six other tigers and lions that have also fallen ill — are believed to have been infected by a zoo employee who wasn't yet showing symptoms, the zoo said."

https://abcnews.go.com/Health/wireStory/tiger-nycs-bronx-zoo-tests-positive-coronavirus-69989185



https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-zoo-idUSKBN21N0WV
 
6-Apr-2020:

Global COVID-19 Mortality/Morbidity
- Cases reported: 1,280,046 (up from 1,213,927) - *‬**‬‬**66,119‬ new cases yesterday
- Deaths: 69,789 (up from 65,652) - **‬**4,137‬‬ people died yesterday

US COVID-19 Mortality/Morbidity
- Cases reported in the US - 337,646 cases (up from 312,245 yesterday, ‬***‬‬‬‬‬**25,401‬‬ new cases)
- Deaths reported in the US - 9,648 deaths, **1,145 new deaths yesterday, 28% of the world's new deaths were in the US

NY state and NYC COVID-19 Mortality/Morbidity (as of 11AM yesterday)
- Cases reported in NY state - 122,031 (up from 113,704), 16,479 are hospitalized, 4,376 are in ICUs.
- Cases reported in NYC - 67,551 (up from 60,306)
- Deaths reported in NYC - 2,624 (up from 1,867)
- Persons tested in NY state - 302,280 (*283,621‬ tested prior day- 18,659 new tests)

Coronavirus cases/deaths in active countries (preference to countries with JUB members):
  • Italy - 128,948 cases (up 124,632 / 3.5%) - 15,887 deaths
  • Spain - 131,646 (up from 130,759 / 0.7%) - 12,641 deaths
  • Germany - 100,132 cases (up from 96,108 / 4.2%) - 1,584 deaths
  • France - 93,780 cases (up from 90,853 / 3.2%) - 8,093 deaths
  • Iran - 58,226 cases (no change from 58,226) - 3,603 deaths
  • UK - 48,451 cases (up from 42,480 / 14.1%) - 4,943 deaths
  • Turkey - 27,069 cases (up from 23,934 / 13.1%) - 574 deaths
  • Switzerland - 21,176 cases (up from 20,510 / 3.2%) - 724 deaths
  • Netherlands - 17,965 cases (up from 16,729 / 7.4%) - 1,773 deaths
  • Canada - 15,940 cases (up from 14,018 / 13.7%) - 281 deaths
  • Brazil - 11,281 (up from 10,360 cases / 8.9%) - 487 deaths
  • Australia - 5,797 cases (up from 5,687 / 1.9%) - 40 deaths
  • Ireland - 4,994 (up from 4,604 / 8.5%) - 158 deaths
  • India - 4,314 (up from 3,588 / 20.2%) - 118 deaths
  • Mexico - 2,143 (up from 1,890 / 13.4%) - 94 deaths
  • New Zealand - 2,143 (up from 1,039 / 6.4%) - 1 death

Coronavirus cases/deaths in recovering countries:
  • China - 82,665 (up from 82,602 / 0%) - 3,335 deaths / 77,310 recovered
  • South Korea - 10,284 cases (up from / 0.5%) - 186 deaths / 6,598 recovered

Individual States with high case counts:
  • New York - 123,160 (up from 114,174 / 10.7%) - 4,159 deaths
  • New Jersey - 37,505 (up from 34,124 / 14.1%) - 917 deaths
  • Michigan - 15,718 (up from 14,225 / 11.6%) - 617 deaths
  • California - 15,158 (up from 13,904 / 11.2%) - 350 deaths
  • Louisiana - 13,010 cases (up from 12,496 / 21.4%) - 477 deaths
  • Florida - 12,350 (up from 11,545 / 12.4%) - 221 deaths
  • Massachusetts - 12,500 (up from 11,736 / 12.8%) - 231 deaths
  • Illinois - 11,260 (up from 10,360 / 11.8%) - 276 deaths
  • Pennsylvania - 11,589 (up from 10,507 / 22.6%) - 151 deaths
  • Washington - 7,984 (up from 7,632 / 9.5%) - 343 deaths
  • Texas - 7,294 (up from 6,872 / 14.0%) - 140 deaths
  • Georgia - 6,742 (up from 6,383 /7.0%) - 219 deaths
  • Connecticut - 5,675 (up from 5,276 / 7.4%) - 189 deaths
  • Colorado - 4,950 (up from 4,565 / 9.2%) - 140 deaths
  • Indiana - 4,411 (up from 3,953 / 15.0%) - 127 deaths
  • Tennessee - 3,633 (down from 3,322 / 8.3%) - 53 deaths
Canadian Province Stats:
  • Alberta - 1,250 (up from 1,181 / 5.8%) - 23 deaths
  • British Columbia - 1,203 (no change from 1,203) - 38 deaths (no update on Sunday)
  • Manitoba - 203 (up from 194 / 4.6%) - 2 deaths
  • New Brunswick - 101 (up from 98 / 3.1%) - 0 deaths
  • Newfoundland/Labrador - 217 (up from 203 / 6.9%) - 1 deaths
  • Northwest Territories - 4 (unchanged from 4) - 0 deaths
  • Nova Scotia - 262 (up from 236 / 11.0%) - 0 deaths
  • Ontario - 4,038 (up from 3,630 /11.2%) - 119 deaths
  • Quebec - 7,944 (up from 6,997 / 13.5%) - 94 deaths
  • Prince Edward Island - 22 (unchanged from 22 ) - 0 deaths
  • Saskatchewan - 249 (up from 231 / 7.8%) - 3 deaths
  • Yukon - 6 (unchanged from 6) - 0 deaths
There were also 13 Canadians on the Grand Princess, one of whom died.
 
Re: Who's afraid of Coronavirus?

The View says new reports are indicating that black people are dying much faster than whites. Is that so?
 
Re: Who's afraid of Coronavirus?

The View says new reports are indicating that black people are dying much faster than whites. Is that so?

Opinterph provided some links. It is true that the case numbers and deaths are disproportionately affecting minorities in the US. This is another case where the data is coming in so quickly that patterns are apparent but the statisticians and epidemiologists don't have explanations yet.

It may be their pre-existing health problems; it may be that they're seeking treatment late; it may be something as simple as they are more likely to take public transportation or it could be a genetic predisposition... or it could be a combination of factors.
 
7-Apr-2020:

Global COVID-19 Mortality/Morbidity
- Cases reported: 1,360,039 (up from 1,280,046) - *‬**‬‬**79,993‬‬ new cases yesterday
- Deaths: 75,945 (up from 69,789) - **‬*6,156 people died yesterday

US COVID-19 Mortality/Morbidity
- Cases reported in the US - 368,449 cases (up from 337,646 yesterday, ‬***‬‬‬‬‬**30,803‬‬‬ new cases)
- Deaths reported in the US - 10,993 deaths, **1,145 new deaths yesterday, 19% of the world's new deaths were in the US

NY state and NYC COVID-19 Mortality/Morbidity (as of 11AM yesterday)
- Cases reported in NY state - 130,689 (up from 122,031), 16,387 are hospitalized, 4,504 are in ICUs.
- Cases reported in NYC - 68,776 (up from 67,551)
- Deaths reported in NYC - 2,738 (up from 2,624)
- Persons tested in NY state - 320,811 (*302,280‬ tested prior day- 18,531 new tests)

Coronavirus cases/deaths in active countries (preference to countries with JUB members):
  • Italy - 132,547 cases (up 128,948 / 2.8%) - 16,523 deaths
  • Spain - 140,510 (up from 131,646 / 6.7%) - 13,798 deaths
  • Germany - 103,375 cases (up from 100,132 / 3.2%) - 1,810 deaths
  • France - 98,984 cases (up from 93,780 / 5.5%) - 8,926 deaths
  • Iran - 62,589 cases (up from 58,226 / 7.5%) - 3,872 deaths
  • UK - 52,301 cases (up from 48,451 / 7.9%) - 5,385 deaths
  • Turkey - 30,217 cases (up from 27,069 / 11.6%) - 649 deaths
  • Switzerland - 21,907 cases (up from 21,176 / 3.5%) - 787 deaths
  • Netherlands - 18,926 cases (up from 17,965 / 5.3%) - 1,874 deaths
  • Canada - 16,667 cases (up from 15,940 / 4.6%) - 323 deaths
  • Brazil - 12,240 (up from 11,281 cases / 8.5%) - 566 deaths
  • Australia - 5,895 cases (up from 5,797 / 1.7%) - 45 deaths
  • Ireland - 5,364 (up from 4,994 / 7.4%) - 174 deaths
  • India - 4,908 (up from 4,314 / 13.8%) - 137 deaths
  • Mexico - 2,439 (up from 2,143 / 13.8%) - 125 deaths
  • New Zealand - 1,160 (up from 1,039 /4.9%) - 1 death

Coronavirus cases/deaths in recovering countries:
  • China - 82,718 (up from 82,665 / 0.1%) - 3,335 deaths / 77,410 recovered
  • South Korea - 10,331 cases (up from 10,284 / 0.5%) - 192 deaths / 6,694 recovered

Individual States with high case counts:
  • New York - 131,830 (up from 123,160 / 7.0%) - 4,758 deaths
  • New Jersey - 41,090 (up from 37,505 / 9.6%) - 1,003 deaths
  • Michigan - 17,221 (up from 15,718 / 9.6%) - 727 deaths
  • California - 16,349 (up from 15,158 / 7.9%) - 388 deaths
  • Louisiana - 14,867 cases (up from 13,010 / 8.9%) - 512 deaths
  • Florida - 13,629 (up from 12,350 / 10.4%) - 254 deaths
  • Massachusetts - 13,837 (up from 12,500 / 10.7%) - 260 deaths
  • Illinois - 12,264 (up from 11,260 / 8.9%) - 308 deaths
  • Pennsylvania - 13,206 (up from 11,589 / 14.0%) - 179 deaths
  • Washington - 8,384 (up from 7,984 / 5.0%) - 383 deaths
  • Texas - 8,157 (up from 7,294 / 11.8%) - 153 deaths
  • Georgia - 7,558 (up from 6,742 / 12.1%) - 294 deaths
  • Connecticut - 6,906 (up from 5,675 / 21.7%) - 206 deaths
  • Colorado - 5,183 (up from 4,950 / 4.7%) - 150 deaths
  • Indiana - 4,956 (up from 4,411 / 12.4%) - 143 deaths
  • Tennessee - 3,802 (down from 3,633 / 4.7%) - 65 deaths

Canadian Province Stats:
  • Alberta - 1,348 (up from 1,250 / 7.8%) - 13 deaths
  • British Columbia - 1,266 (up from 1,203 / 5.2%) - 39 deaths
  • Manitoba - 204 (up from 203 / 0.5%) - 2 deaths
  • New Brunswick - 103 (up from 101 / 2.0%) - 0 deaths
  • Newfoundland/Labrador - 226 (up from 217 / 4.1%) - 1 deaths
  • Northwest Territories - 5 (up from 4) - 0 deaths
  • Nova Scotia - 293 (up from 262 / 11.8%) - 0 deaths
  • Ontario - 4,347 (up from 4,466 /7.7%) - 132 deaths
  • Quebec - 8,580 (up from 7,944 / 8.0%) - 121 deaths
  • Prince Edward Island - 22 (unchanged from 22) - 0 deaths
  • Saskatchewan - 253 (up from 249 / 1.6%) - 3 deaths
  • Yukon - 7 (up from 6) - 0 deaths
There were also 13 Canadians on the Grand Princess, one of whom died.
 
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