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On Topic Discussion 2019 Coronavirus (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2)

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Well, today the elderly living under shady pines in Spain (at least in Catalonia, now that I think of it) started receiving their third jab.

92.5% of those above 70 received two doses, and around 80% of all oldfarters above 40 have received them too. Those between 12 and 29 are the ones lagging behind.

Apart from that, The Lancet publishes that one-third of the dead by or because of Covid-19 were diabetic.
 
A sobering statistic: the population of Alabama decreased last year because there were more deaths than births.

Covid-stricken Alabama had more deaths than births last year, a first in its recorded history. [NY Times]
For the first time in Alabama’s known history, the state had more deaths than births in 2020 — a grim milestone that underscores the pandemic’s calamitous toll.

“Our state literally shrunk in 2020,” Dr. Scott Harris, Alabama’s state health officer, said at a news conference on Friday. There were 64,714 total deaths in the state last year, compared to 57,641 births, Dr. Harris said.

Such a gap had never been recorded, not even during World War I, World War II and the flu pandemic of 1918, Dr. Harris said. Going back to the earliest available records, in 1900, “We’ve never had a time when deaths exceeded births,” he said...

In Alabama last year, 7,182 deaths were officially attributed to Covid, according to data from the Alabama Department of Public Health.
 
Some good news for schoolage-aged children...

Covid-19 vaccine for 5- to 11-year-olds is safe and shows 'robust' antibody response, Pfizer says [CNN]
In a highly anticipated announcement, Pfizer said on Monday a Phase 2/3 trial showed its Covid-19 vaccine was safe and generated a "robust" antibody response in children ages 5 to 11...

The trial included 2,268 participants ages 5 to 11 and used a two-dose regimen of the vaccine administered 21 days apart. This trials used a 10-microgram dose -- smaller than the 30-microgram dose that has been used for those 12 and older...

Dr. Scott Gottlieb, a former FDA commissioner and current Pfizer board member, has said a vaccine for children ages 5 to 11 could be available by Halloween.
 
More or less the general situation than in the rest of Spain, although Catalonia and the Balearic Islands are the only regions where nightlife businesses are still not allowed to open.

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We're jabbing up here in New Zealand after a very slow start. 74% have now had their first dose. I expect it'll be close to 90% by the end of October. 39% 2 doses.
 
Latest Case and Death Numbers for Florida and Texas:
Florida: - vaccination rate: 56.1% (up from 55.8%)
  • 24-Jul: 73,166 new cases / 282 deaths
  • 31-Jul: 110,724 new cases / 409 deaths
  • 07-Aug: 134,751 new cases / 616 deaths
  • 14-Aug: 151,764 new cases / 1,071 deaths
  • 21-Aug: 150,740 new cases / 1,486 deaths
  • 28-Aug: 151,760 new cases / 1,727 deaths
  • 04-Sep: 129,202 new cases / 2,345 deaths
  • 11-Sep: 100,249 new cases / 2,448 deaths
  • 18-Sep: 75,998 new cases / 2,468 deaths

Texas: - vaccination rate: (50.2% up from 50.0%)
  • 24-Jul: 36,451 new cases / 190 deaths
  • 31-Jul: 62,722 new cases / 271 deaths
  • 07-Aug: 96,807 new cases / 384 deaths
  • 14-Aug: 98,447 new cases / 628 deaths
  • 21-Aug: 124,969 new cases / 937 deaths
  • 28-Aug: 106,976 new cases / 1,351 deaths
  • 04-Sep: 137,679 new cases / 1,843 deaths
  • 11-Sep: 120,101 new cases / 1,780 deaths
  • 18-Sep: 109,267 new cases / 1,661 deaths

US States With Highest Number of New Cases:
  • California: 156,921 (+3.5%)
  • Texas: 109,267 (+2.9%)
  • Florida: 75,998 (+2.2%)
  • Tennessee: 53,455 (+4.8%)
  • North Carolina: 50,992 (+4.0%)
  • Ohio: 44,152 (+3.4%)
  • Georgia: 40,840 (+2.8%)
  • South Carolina: 35,152 (+4.5%)
  • New York: 30,721 (+1.3%)
  • Kentucky: 29,335 (+4.7%)

US States/Territories With Highest Weekly Death Numbers:
  • Florida: 2,468
  • Texas: 1,661
  • Georgia: 836
  • California: 773
  • North Carolina: 540
  • Alabama: 533
  • South Carolina: 465
  • Tennessee: 450
  • Louisiana: 362
  • Ohio: 317
 
Bad trends - Tennessee - vaccination rate: 44.1%
  • 03-Jul: 669 new cases / 21 deaths
  • 10-Jul: 2,345 new cases / 25 deaths
  • 17-Jul: 3,193 new cases / -63 deaths
  • 24-Jul: 7,844 new cases / 131 deaths
  • 31-Jul: 12,765 new cases / 60 deaths
  • 07-Aug: 20,556 new cases / 96 deaths
  • 14-Aug: 27,151 new cases / 114 deaths
  • 21-Aug: 35,969 new cases / 201 deaths
  • 28-Aug: 44,348 new cases / 203 deaths
  • 04-Sep: 49,547 new cases / 284 deaths
  • 11-Sep: 53,588 new cases / 260 deaths
  • 18-Sep: 53,455 new cases / 450 deaths

Bad trends - Mississippi - vaccination rate: 42.1%
  • 03-Jul: 1,349 new cases / 24 deaths
  • 10-Jul: 1,871 new cases / 20 deaths
  • 17-Jul: 2,747 new cases / 26 deaths
  • 24-Jul: 6,376 new cases / 37 deaths
  • 31-Jul: 10,325 new cases / 41 deaths
  • 07-Aug: 14,644 new cases / 78 deaths
  • 14-Aug: 22,998 new cases / 140 deaths
  • 21-Aug: 25,102 new cases / 230 deaths
  • 28-Aug: 21,391 new cases / 288 deaths
  • 04-Sep: 19,223 new cases / 261 deaths
  • 11-Sep: 13,449 new cases / 365 deaths
  • 18-Sep: 13,101 new cases / 309 deaths


Bad trends - Idaho - vaccination rate: 40.8%
  • 03-Jul: 482 new cases / 13 deaths
  • 10-Jul: 659 new cases / 7 deaths
  • 17-Jul: 1,025 new cases / 8 deaths
  • 24-Jul: 1,440 new cases / 10 deaths
  • 31-Jul: 2,188 new cases / 14 deaths
  • 07-Aug: 3,607 new cases / 20 deaths
  • 14-Aug: 3,963 new cases / 28 deaths
  • 21-Aug: 4,885 new cases / 38 deaths
  • 28-Aug: 4,948 new cases / 44 deaths
  • 04-Sep: 7,657 new cases / 52 deaths
  • 11-Sep: 8,033 new cases / 93 deaths
  • 18-Sep: 8,444 new cases / 164 deaths
 


The U.S. currently has a coronavirus case fatality rate of 1.6%, compared to the 2.5% fatality rate for influenza in 1918, noted Mooney. Normally, the flu's fatality rate is less than 0.1%....Ultimately, when compared on a per-capita basis, the pandemic of 1918 was far deadlier than this one, according to Christopher McKnight Nichols, associate professor of history at Oregon State University. ...The difference is that 1 in 500 Americans have died now, and about 1 in 152 died in 1918
https://abcnews.go.com/health/coron...ses-1918-influenza-pandemic/story?id=80020368
 
The U.S. currently has a coronavirus case fatality rate of 1.6%, compared to the 2.5% fatality rate for influenza in 1918, noted Mooney. Normally, the flu's fatality rate is less than 0.1%....Ultimately, when compared on a per-capita basis, the pandemic of 1918 was far deadlier than this one, according to Christopher McKnight Nichols, associate professor of history at Oregon State University. ...The difference is that 1 in 500 Americans have died now, and about 1 in 152 died in 1918

It's probably a measure of how Americans have lived in a bubble- that we have to go back 100 years to find a pandemic that killed so many people so quickly.

But a lot has happened since 1918- vaccines, antibiotics, high flow oxygen therapy, intensive care units, ECMO, positive pressure mechnical ventilators, CAVHD/dialysis- things that have lowered the mortality and morbidity in 2020-2021 but weren't available to people who had the 1918 flu. It's still shocking- that in spite of the vaccines and all the treatments we have in 2021, the chances of dying from COVID-19 are still around 2 per 100 cases of COVID-19.

Even more shocking, the overall death rate has been 1 per 500 Americans (667,000 deaths/330 million Americans) and it's still not over; 13,542 Americans died of COVID-19 last week and it's still going up week-to-week!

The 1918-1919 pandemic has a lot of parallels in human behavior. Americans were distracted by a World War. There was a lot of woeful ignorance in people refusing to change their behavior. There still is ignorance, in spite of all the knowledge that we've gained in 100 years.

No one seems to be acknowledging that we're living in two different Americas- one vaccinated, the other not vaccinated.

Weekly Case/Deaths in the United States: - overall vaccination rate 55.3%
  • 03-Jul: 105,452 new cases / 1,841 deaths
  • 10-Jul: 134,343 new cases / 1,631 deaths
  • 17-Jul: 217,394 new cases / 1,742 deaths
  • 24-Jul: 360,515 new cases / 1,953 deaths
  • 31-Jul: 552,140 new cases / 2,323 deaths
  • 07-Aug: 761,225 new cases / 3,562 deaths
  • 14-Aug: 911,721 new cases / 4,575 deaths
  • 21-Aug: 1,014,864 new cases / 6,982 deaths
  • 28-Aug: 1,087,492 new cases / 8,965 deaths
  • 04-Sep: 1,186,200 new cases / 11,226 deaths
  • 11-Sep: 1,012,671 new cases / 11,475 deaths
  • 18-Sep: 1,099,712 new cases / 13,542 deaths
 
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