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Assad got away with it this time. Obama is desperately grasping at this straw as a way to get out of his corner. He will not attempt to go beyond huffing and puffing again. Assad and Putin are having a good laugh at our "community organizer" LOL.
And if the president carried out the strikes you wouldn't be howling for his impeachment? It's a good thing he isn't striking Syria, and hopefully he still won't. But now the Russians want to impose conditions on the Obama Administration, most notably to foreswear the use of any military option to get the Syrians to comply with dismantling their chemical program. [Text: Removed] NOTHING has been resolved as of yet... if your instincts are to celebrate that the day has been saved with a cynical assist from Putin, maybe it has... I repeat I don't want strikes because it will make things worse, and as much as I think Obama is way out of his league I don't want America stained with yet another military intervention gone to shit. Of which the complications could be made infinitely worse with chemical weapons and a country falling apart in the mix. But I am sick to death of know it all progressives lording it over the plebes and it would be nice if the humility Jack may not have would at least be present in you and all those here on the left whose positions are as equally strident. Aren't you supposed to know better there are few issues that are black and white, that most are shades of grey?
What's the point of having this superb military that you're always talking about if we can't use it?
To Colin Powell, then chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, in the 1990s, on Bosnia, recounted in Madam Secretary (2003), p. 182
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights has documented 110,371 casualties since the beginning of the uprisings in March 2011 through August 2013.
Bolstered by weapons and money from regional and global powers waging a proxy war, Syria’s government and rebel forces have committed murder, torture, rape and indiscriminate attacks on civilians, without fear of future punishment, the panel, a Commission of Inquiry that was expanded last fall, said in its latest report, to be presented to the United Nations Human Rights Council here in Geneva on Monday.
The report was careful to hold both sides responsible, but the unevenness of the conflict — with heavily armed government forces battling rebels with scanty, sometimes homemade arsenals — was evident. Of the nine mass killings the panel investigated for the report, eight were attributed to the government side and one to rebels.
It would appear that Assad's air force has been testing defences at a UK airbase in Cyprus from which American aircraft could launch operations against targets in Syria. The two Syrian air craft involved would make formidable adversaries:
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/syrian-warplanes-flee-after-testing-2259425
The Wizzard has a good point, Obama could be looking for a congressional get out of jail free card so he does not have to act.
As far as the country forces being smart enough not to attack Jordan, Israel or what not?? They are not the forces I consider the most likely to carry out such an attack, however with no government control in the vast region of Syria, the likelihood of a rogue agent is all that more likely. Look at the gas attack and its possible origins. Anarchy is just that.
great move by the Russians... if Syria destroys its chemical weapons and the US loses all reason to engage Syria militarily, the Russians and Iranians can continue supporting their man Assad.
all options at this stage are bad, but that's slightly less bad than getting entangled in the Syrian civil war ourselves.
France is also participating to ensure that Assad's chemical weapons are destroyed:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-24031203
Assad gets to keep his chemical weapons, and Obama gets off the hook and will claim a victory. Putin gets the real victory. Sure, they will pretend to negotiate a surrender of the weapons for 20 years or so, but there is no reason for Assad to stop using them again, since he knows the West will dither at best.
"We want to join the convention on the prohibition of chemical weapons. We are ready to observe our obligations in accordance with that convention, including providing all information about these weapons," Moualem said in a statement shown on Russian state television.
No. It's not behind the realm of possibility that Assad is behind the proposal -- it goes like this:
Obama is demanding bombing -- just a few (hundred) cruise missiles. Some of Syria's neighbors are adamant enough about it that if the US doesn't go ahead, they may. Half the country is in rebel hands, and it's a stalemate that favors those rebels. The longer it goes on, the shorter Assad's prospective lifespan looks to be. So . . .
The order was really given by the brother, and big brother is pissed at him for all the trouble. So he whispers to an aide to whisper to one of Kerry's aides that he wishes he didn't even have any weapons, especially since his brother can't be trusted not to use them. So Kerry mentions that if any existing weapons could just be rounded up, Assad would be off the hook. Putin agrees, which sends Assad the message that this will be taken seriously, and France is all ready with a U.N. resolution, which lets Assad know he has everyone's gratitude.
So the UN accepts the idea, NATO and Russia together send in forces to collect all those weapons (the US providing logistic support only), and while they're there, a group of French commandos spirit Assad out of the country, so he can retire in Dubai with a few billion in his pocket. Once everyone notices he's disappeared, Obama gets to step forward and urge a political process to pick a successor....
Dubai is Sunni thus, view Assad as an enemy...Assad would be much be safer exiled in Iran.
Dubai is money....
Thanks kallipolis... definitely a quandary. Hitting Assad hard with cruise missiles would have just brought total chaos, with chemical weapons still available to whomever could procure them first. Now a slower but probably no less inevitable a collapse will occur. Key is even if the Syrians give up their chemical weapons, the war with the rebels will go on. Are we certain that the rumors the rebels may have chemical weapons and have been using them to discredit the Assad regime are indeed just that? Just still way too many troubling questions and scenarios though thankfully, at least for now and the short term at least there won't be a cruise missile barrage which undoubtedly would have speeded things up for a terrible conflagration to occur.^I have visited Damascus twice over the years for work purposes and noted that the Russian influence is all too persuasive at Syrian government level. The Russians have always wanted a Mediterranean naval base, after President Sadat kicked them out of Alexandria, Egypt leading me to believe that should the Russians decide that they really have no good reason to retain their naval facilities in Syria the Assad regime will collapse rapidly after the withdrawal of Russian support. The Iranians also provide Assad with valuable assistance but may well decide that after Russia's departure Assad's days are numbered.
I'm wondering how long the Assad regime really has. After reading that link about David Polk's perspective on the Syrian situation he is presiding over a basket case. Lack of food and water from drought. The rebels are not going away and a bloody stalemate even with Iranian and Russian aid is all that appears best option for him. I don't know if he's playing games about his seriousness about giving up his chemical weapons but he and the Russians cannot in all seriousness say we must NEVER consider the possibility of force or totally withdraw our support for the rebels. Those demands are nonstarters. Is his brother a wild card, would he turn on him for giving up Syria's chemical stash, if indeed it is a serious consideration? This whole thing is still very far off from any resolution that can result in the world exhaling in relief nothing worse happened. And there still is what are the Iranians ultimately going to do amidst all this uncertainty?
