Re: "Obamacare will collapse"
For some reason, the American public seems to believe that "Obamacare" is only the individual market. It's not. The ACA is an overhaul of the US healthcare system. The majority of the bill is geared toward changing from a fee-for-service model to an outcome-based model.
There are about 12 million Americans enrolled in private "Obamacare" policies. The government underwrites these policies (81% in the ACA market get subsidies). Eight out of ten people enrolled in the individual market, pay less than $100 per month for their insurance because of these subsidies. This private ACA market is a government subsidy
that goes to the private insurance payers.
The majority (156 million people - over 50%) of Americans who have private insurance get their insurance through their employer.
This whole thing is about 14 million people who were added the Medicaid rolls in the 31 states that opted-in to the Medicaid expansion. Those are the people who will lose their insurance.
The claim that Obamacare is "in a death spiral" is a Republican talking point and is purely fiction.
Here's the fact-check:
The thing that would collapse the individual market would be if the government stopped paying the subsidies.
The Medicaid expansion requires a repeal. This is what the AHCA sets out to do... in spite of loud protests from governors in the 31 states that accepted the Medicaid expansion.
Incidentally, last week the Nevada legislature voted to extend Medicaid to ALL citizens of the state of Nevada. Citizens who did not meet the federal poverty guidelines required by Medicaid could "buy in" to Medicaid just like a private insurance policy. Unfortunately, the Republican governor of Nevada vetoed the bill.