Have to watch that, they might just wind up being libertarians.
Or figure out some new social structure we haven't even imagined.
You're assuming the cost is the same no matter what size the ship is.
Yeah. Makes it simpler.
In reality, if the first ship cost a trillion the second would likely be 3/4 of that, the third 2/3, then possibly down to half and stay roughly there.
Even with embryos, I'd keep the standard ship size -- just send more Earth life along so the colonists aren't having to slave to make it like home; by the time they're walking, the oak trees will be as tall as they are.
I was assuming that all other tech would advance about as far as the spaceship tech. Did you know that right now NO ONE IN THE WORLD has a rocket that can boost to the MOON? (We might be able to make Saturn Vs again if we tried, but we don't, and no one else even has the capability.) If we're going to make a spaceship that can go 99.99% of the speed of light (a
NAFAL ship, essentially), it's reasonable to assume we'll have advanced AI and robotics to the point where perfect imitation humans are commonplace, and the ship itself could be managed by what's known in the field as a "godlike AI."
Ah -- LeGUin, who uses science fiction as a cover for lethal social commentary. Her NAFAL is more like within 1^-100 of the speed of light -- using that for my hypothetical 30-LY journey would give a subjective time of less than a working morning... like, board, settle in, have breakfast, review your job on arrival, then start getting your gear ready for landing.
I don't know how to do the math. I'm pretty sure it's not quite as simple as percent of speed of light equals percent time dilation. Might be, but it's also true that being in a gravity field slows time too. We're in slower time than satellites in orbit; they have to have their clocks set slow in order to synch with devices on Earth (yes, an understanding of relativity is required for GPS to work). So it might be a lot more complicated. I don't know the physics though.
No, it looks like this:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_dilation#Overview_of_formulae
Oh, if subjective time won't exceed 20 years, there's little advantage to my embryo idea. I was assuming hundreds of years.
There would in that space that would have been needed for adult human bodies will instead be occupied by banks of embryos in stasis. That means more room for things like an army of robots to slap together a prefab arcology for five thousand people as the "capital" of the colony while humans look for resources to refine for building the next one, along with a lot more stock in earth life. It's not a bad idea at all.
It would have to be. There wouldn't be any significant life on Earth if not for our moon.
Perhaps. The argument is over whether there would be significant life, or whether it would be as varied. I don't think you'd get an intelligent species without a moon, but you could get a planetary ecology (probably a very boring one). For colonization, a simple ecology already maintaining the atmosphere would be best; Earth life could fit in all kinds of ecological niches the planet doesn't even know exist.
Of course, if we can move a ship at 99.99% of the speed of light, given your technological assumption we could just go get a moon, once settled in.
Impossible.
- Someone has to program the AIs and parent robots and create the culture.
- Only a government program would be able to spend a trillion dollars on this project.
- No libertarian would participate in such a program. They'd be [STRIKE]out at the gates[/STRIKE] blogging in their mothers' basements about wasteful government spending.
- Therefore the people who program the AIs and robots would not be libertarians.
- Anyone who ISN'T a libertarian would take care that that particular infection of the mind would not take hold among the kids.
Screwups are possible, of course. But again, if we're assuming a NAFAL ship, we can also assume we know how to program a society to avoid grotesque results like totalitarianism and libertarianism.
There's a massive strain of libertarians who who jump at the idea. And if you charge application fees for trying to join, a lot of funding could come that way.
And a colony like that would be the right size for just about pure libertarianism for a very long time -- don't let cities exceed 5k, and it would be a very long time indeed.
I'd be more worried about a flood of SfCA people going along expecting to set up baronies and counties and duchies.
