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Romney campaign in trouble

TX-Beau said:
The apologia is getting a little.... bizarre.
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Beyond bizarre. What did Clinton say about brass?;)

I sure hope he was referring to brass balls. I'd be really disappointed if he made it all the way through the speech without reminding everyone he got a bunch of Blow jobs under the desk in the Oval office, and still had time to balance the budget, create jobs, and pay down part of the debt.
 
I would LOVE to know just which Presidents go just how deviant with whom in the Oval office. You know some of that has to be really dirty.
 
There have been many mistresses. I saw something on it on one of the history channels.. that taboo tv show... sex and power or something.

Anyway I changed the channel before they made it past the civil war.

Power is the ultimate aphrodisiac.
 
GiancarloC said:
That and it's national poll is a daily tracking poll and those are probably the least accurate, regardless of sample size.
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My statistics prof had something to say about such uncertainty, and had a way of coming up with a factor of increased uncertainty. I don't know if it was an accepted formula or his own thing, but it made sense.

Personally, I'd think that if the most accurate sampling is over a period of X days, the sample size for a single day's sampling to approach the accuracy of sampling over that period would be X times the ordinary sample size.
 
todays WSJ marist poll put Obama at 50 and Romney at 45. This poll was ended the day before the whole tape thing came out, so there will be a separate poll on the impact of that.

As I said, what Romney is doing week by week, is cementing the president's support in place in the polls through one blunder after the next.
 
BostonPirate said:
todays WSJ marist poll put Obama at 50 and Romney at 45. This poll was ended the day before the whole tape thing came out, so there will be a separate poll on the impact of that.

As I said, what Romney is doing week by week, is cementing the president's support in place in the polls through one blunder after the next.
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Supposedly Ann will start making public appearances late this month and will fix it all.
 
I'd say Romney is also moving people to decide for the President. Two of my mom's friends heard about this and got really pissed -- a pair of 85-y.o. former staunch Republicans who have worked their asses off raising kids, a couple of whom went into the military and now have sons of their own in the military, and many years owed no taxes, are not happy about being referred to as irresponsible "victims", and will not be voting for Romney. Hopefully a few million of similar people in military families will do the same.
 
I've never understood why military families thought Republicans were good for them anyway.
 
Romney has lost the women, The latino vote, the black vote, the gay vote, the Jewish vote, and now he is going to lose the military vote. I think his numbers will suffer with the older crowd, but he will probably carry them. They are the ones that still yearn for the day when a black president was a distant concern, and water fountains all had their own labels.
 
BostonPirate said:
Romney has lost the women, The latino vote, the black vote, the gay vote, the Jewish vote, and now he is going to lose the military vote. I think his numbers will suffer with the older crowd, but he will probably carry them. They are the ones that still yearn for the day when a black president was a distant concern, and water fountains all had their own labels.
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I'm hoping for a landslide re-election for President Obama.

Republicans, when there is a gender gap, do not win women until they have first won men. Mitt Romney would be really landslided if he were to nationally lose the white female vote. (Obama received 46% of their 2008 vote nationwide.)

From Chuck Todd's and Sheldon Gawiser's How Barack Obama Won: A State-By-State Guide to the Historic 2008 Presidential Election:

Male (47): McCain 48% Obama 49% (D+1)
Female (53): McCain 43% Obama 56% (D+13)
White Men (36): McCain 57% Obama 42% (R+15)
White Women (39): McCain 53% Obama 46% (R+7) 
Black Men (5): McCain 5% Obama 95% (D+90)
Black Women (7): McCain 3% Obama 96% (D+93)
Latino Men (4): McCain 33% Obama 64% (D+31)
Latino Women (5): McCain 30% Obama 68% (D+38)
All Other Races (5): McCain 32% Obama 64% (D+32)​

John McCain won whites by R+12. Imagine if Mitt Romney were to lose white females by D+1. (An eight-point Democratic shift.) Maybe Mitt's "47 percent" speech can help get that to happen. If not … at least some sort of D shift.
 
TX-Beau said:
I've never understood why military families thought Republicans were good for them anyway.
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I did not follow the conventions while they were happening, but it is unusual that the Republicans were so lacking in military themes while the Democrats really talked up a great appreciation for the military soldiers and their families and their sacrifices.
 
I've only seen one real landslide election in my life, and that was the re election of Reagan.
 
There is no way this election will be landslide. As much as we might wish the Romney campaign to be near dead, the truth is he is still close to the middle, and a good debate could actually even put him in front of Obama. I still think Obama will win, but it will be with little. He hasn't been the most amazing president, whoever fault that was.
 
I am not going to feel comfortable at all, unless the Obama lead becomes at least 10% among likely voters.

The Republicans are doing their best to steal the election by preventing millions, millions, and millions of people from being able to vote. They are STILL threatening to stir up more election theft in Ohio and Florida, and I don't trust Pennsylvania's lower court even as far as I can throw a grand piano. As much as I don't really like the idea all that much (due to concerns about privacy, government dossiers, etc.), I think it's time for all people to have a national I. D., IF this voting ID shit is to continue. What is being done with voting right now should be considered TREASON. Those who steal elections are the enemies of the State.
 
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