Re: The Official "Big Brother 10" Discussion Threa
Libra bitches about Angie almost just as much as April and most of it isn't game related. Whether she wants her out for game reasons or not, how she treats her and her reasons of hating her are horrible. Angie is NOT a threat. She's bad at competitions and doesn't make an effort to come up with plans and ideas to stay. Who cares if the guys like her, doesn't mean they'll let her stay in their group longer. The guys who like her left are Memphis/Jessie/Dan, even if she did have those 3 it's not more than other people. Jessie/Memphis/Michelle all won and came close to winning more competitions.
In the right climate Angie is most certainly a threat. She's a dangerous floater like Ollie. Dangerous floaters, as I've described earlier in this thread, lay back and than at the end of the game snatch a win out of nowhere (Adam anyone?)
So in what climate and to who are dangerous floaters more dangerous than direct competition threats?
I first must say (And I know Nik will provide like a million counter examples from seasons I haven't seen
) my observation of Big Brother are as follows:
1. The house has a tendency to split into two distinct groups.
2. There is also a tendency for these groups to eventually become apparent
3. A handful of people to lie on the outside of these
clearly established core groups. These people are "floaters"
4. There are malignant floaters, who fly under the radar only
to win at the end, and benign floaters, who are generally unable
to win either the game as a whole or individual competitions
within it.
My following analysis of the danger of "floaters" will be founded on those basic principles.
So to the question at hand under what conditions and to whom do malignant floaters make a better target than challenge threats.
To whom....
Other floaters- The fewer floaters the better. A floater largely draws his/her power from their ability to swing back and forth. When an alliance has their back against the wall there is much value in that vote and floaters are often the last hope of an alliance out of power. However the more free votes there are the less important any one vote is. Therefore the less floaters there are, the more powerful any one floater becomes. So it is in the best interest of floaters to rid themselves of other floaters.
Weak Alliance Members- If you're low on the pecking order you're likely to be the one the apposing alliance targets last. That means you're going to have to hang in their a while and better hope that there are no malignant floaters around to pick at the carcass of your alliance and take the prize for all you/your allies work.
To whom are malignant floaters of least importance?
Figure Heads- When you are the face of your alliance it's likely if the other side wins you will be going up. This means you can't afford to play the long game too much because you very well might not get there. People who are perpetually at risk of eviction must be concerned with being able to win multiple veto/HOHs if they want to make it to the end.
When?
Detente- In times of peace between the two core groups it's often wiser to pick off weak players who won't be avenged than to start full out war with the other group. It's inevitable that a war must start but if you're the one to start it you risk becoming a figure head.
When not to?
Times Of War- When the war has been started anyone with a clearly stated allegiance takes priority. This is because they have an increased chance of coming at YOU if you have an established allegiance. (this of course doesn't apply for floaters who shouldn't win competitions and need not worry about any of this).
So as to the question of Angie. The house has shifted, as has Keesha's position, during the past week. It's moved to a time of war. During the detente that surrounded nominations Keesha (a low ranking alliance member) had a legitimate reason to get a malignant floater outof the house. But as she's elevated up the pecking order and the house moves to the time of war her, Libra, Ollie, and April should all be more concerned with Jessie.
