US Midterm Election Results Live......Blow For Blow.

[gsdx]

In Nevada, GOP voters elected a dead brothel owner.

I showed this news to my roommate this morning. We both got a great laugh about it.

 

[72-Jay]

I am pleasantly surprised Jared Polis pulled it off. It's a good change from Amendment Whatever some years ago when Colorado was THE most anti-gay State in the Union.

I remember voting against that amendment (and needing to keep quite about which way I voted)

Now that that's settled, what do we call Jared's partner? I can't remember if they're married or not.
This is certainly the forum to decide!

One site I saw referred to his partner as 'husband', so I assume they are married. But seems every other news outlet says 'partner'.
Not sure what you'd call him...you can't really say "The Governor's wife"

 

[KaraBulut]

...One site I saw referred to his partner as 'husband', so I assume they are married. But seems every other news outlet says 'partner'.
Not sure what you'd call him...you can't really say "The Governor's wife"

Last I heard they weren't married. They have 2 children- a 6 year old boy and a 4 year old girl (if I remember correctly).

In Nevada, GOP voters elected a dead brothel owner.

He's, undoubtedly, one of the stars of the Party.

 

[Sausy]

In Nevada, GOP voters elected a dead brothel owner.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campai...Qz2caswAfnzvaj_bVv9pcaeAWdKRhFZueDp7HaJdGtutI

And Republicans are always warning about voter fraud from dead people? What do you call those who would vote in a corpse who happens to be a Republican? Well, assuming he wasn't cremated...if he was and someone drops the urn over the rug, is it an ash-assination???

 

[Thad1527]

Did you notice that gray area on the map of New Jersey? That's the 3rd District, where the race is still too close to call. Notice how gerrymandering has created this odd-shaped district with two "wings." The west wing is Burlington County, largely Democratic, Philadelphia-oriented, a mixture of suburbs of all income levels, poorer communities along the Delaware River, and some predominantly African-American communities like Willingboro. The east wing is Ocean County, New York-oriented, largely Republican, with many retirees, some beach towns, quite a few young families, and few African-Americans.

In the past Ocean County's retirees dominated the district vote. This year saw large turnout in Burlington County. Democrat Andy Kim has claimed victory over reliable Trump supporter Republican Tom McCarthy but it's real close. The campaign was nasty. Lots of PAC negative ads.

 

[72-Jay]

...One site I saw referred to his partner as 'husband', so I assume they are married. But seems every other news outlet says 'partner'.
Not sure what you'd call him...you can't really say "The Governor's wife"

Last I heard they weren't married. They have 2 children- a 6 year old boy and a 4 year old girl (if I remember correctly).

Out of curiosity I tried google'ing this evening to see if they were.
Never did see anything that specifically said one way or the other, though I did see a couple other sites use 'husband'...so maybe they got married?
Sounds like during his victory speech he also introduced his guy as Colorado's "first, first man"

And yep they have 2 kids.

 

[rareboy]

There are those who believe that Americans failed in these elections. That all the elections did was expose the ugly underbelly of the nation without offering relief.

Our national character is bifurcated anguish. Our national character feels like it’s possessed by every hellish ghost of American history: white supremacist patriarchs, gilded age swindlers, paranoid McCarthyists, Know-Nothings and Klansmen and con artists and terrorists. These dark impulses were always there, as American as the impulse to form a more perfect union and to fear nothing but fear itself. Nowadays, maybe we fear ourselves the most.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opi...yIPJdxTfh7F4sysVstr2ZHjskY95evX3OpKSxxnGPBkq4

 

[KaraBulut]

Out of curiosity I tried google'ing this evening to see if they were.
Never did see anything that specifically said one way or the other, though I did see a couple other sites use 'husband'...so maybe they got married?
Sounds like during his victory speech he also introduced his guy as Colorado's "first, first man"
And yep they have 2 kids.

I also did some searching just now and couldn't find anything specific.

The Windsor and Obergefell decisions came down after Polis entered Congress. Prior to that the term "partner" and "spouse" were used to refer to Reis. Polis tends to be private about his family, but if Polis and Reis married after the SCOTUS decisions (and while Polis was in Congress), the media surely would have picked up the story?

 

[KaraBulut]

There are those who believe that Americans failed in these elections. That all the elections did was expose the ugly underbelly of the nation without offering relief.

It's almost as if there were two elections- one for "the dream" candidates and the other for a new generation of young, politicians who look more like America who now are in both Congress and State legislatures.

Everyone was looking for a "blue wave". What we got was a rainbow wave- women, minorities, Muslims, Native Americans, LGBT candidates were elected.

In the 2019 Congress, of the 435 members, 100 will be women. Not quite the 51% of the population that one would expect to see but that's a big change from 1992 (labeled the "year of the woman") when 5 women were elected to the Congress.

The dream candidates - Gillum, Abrams, ORourke - had impressive numbers but fell slightly short. The Senate situation sucks.

The real change is more apparent when the State races are considered. I heard an interesting statistic yesterday that during the Obama years, the Democrats lost races at the State and Federal level - 62 House seats, 12 governorships, and 958 seats in State Legislatures - which resulted in Republican control of both houses of Congress, the majority of Governorships and the majority of State legislatures. Tuesday's election reversed about 1/3 of those losses.

Republicans entered Tuesday’s election with a sizable advantage, controlling two-thirds of the 99 state legislative chambers and 33 governors’ offices. ... The state gains will help Dems overcome the GOP's redistricting advantage after the next census, and puts machines in place for Dems' 2020 nominee.

[Source]

In terms of votes, Republicans got about 46% of the total votes. The majority of the population is represented by Democrats in the Senate but because the low population States are generally Republican, the Republicans hold the majority.

Another statistic that was interesting- if Republicans would have had the margins that Democrats had in the 2018 election, they would have gained nearly 60 seats in the US House. Because of gerrymandered districts that favor Republicans, the Democrats got a little over 1/3 of that number. If the Democrats are smart, they will make gerrymandering one of their big targets in the next 2 years.

 

[rareboy]

And this guy won.

https://www.queerty.com/hunky-gay-u...sJ5lTxTir-nbeXBsCbLMBOd9V45UYKt_IcseYsuvl8hig

I guess that I'm not the only thirsty guy watching the election....

https://www.gaystarnews.com/article...YUaHq3ImP9lz5gZjvNPRTmzRFBkSXXdo7I#gs.dXn3jqc

 

[Cormac135]

New Hampshire elected Chris Pappas, the first openly gay member of Congress from New Hampshire

 

[Thad1527]

And Pennsylvania's previously all-male Congressional delegation now has four women. The state Supreme Court redistricting may have helped.

 

[rareboy]

But will Ohio be forced to undo the egregious gerrymandering?

Thanks to an aggressive redistricting operation, Ohio’s current congressional map, enacted in December 2011, is gerrymandered to lock in a 12-to-4 district advantage for Republican candidates.

https://www.aclu.org/blog/voting-ri...af3GZzE6Glbb1a0o6S76EQysLvXIFJiKDke_Shwn4-NCc

 

[CoolBlue71]

It appears Colorado's next governor will be democrat, and the first openly gay governor in the state's history.
Some pretty bad amendments & propositions appear to have failed too
And looks like atleast one Democrat headed to the House

The fourth consecutive Democratic Party gubernatorial win in Colorado. In 2006, Bill Ritter won a Democratic pickup for Governor of Colorado while, as the incumbent U.S. president was Republican George W. Bush, the Democrats won majority pickups for U.S. House, U.S. Senate, and a majority count of the nation’s governorships. Following Bill Ritter were Democratic holds for John Hickenlooper, in 2010 and 2014, and Jared Polis, here in 2018. Generally, Colorado has transformed from a Republican to a Lean Republican to a bellwether to now a Lean Democratic state. It was Barack Obama’s No. 23 best-performed state, from his 28 and 26 in 2008 and 2012, and then moved up to Hillary Clinton’s No. 16 best performed state as the nation flipped the presidency to the Republican column in 2016. (Virginia was Nos. 24 in 2008 and 2012. It moved up to No. 15 in 2016. This is getting to know the Democrats’ best-performed states rankings in most recent presidential elections. This indicates Donald Trump would have to carry about 35 states, with re-election in 2020, to win both Colorado and Virginia. Virginia, by the way, goes into the next Congress with 7 of its 11 congressional districts in the Democratic Party’s column. The 2018 Democrats won a net gain of +3 seats in Virginia, including unseating Dave Brat from Eric Cantor’s old seat in Virginia #07. Colorado, with its flip of Colorado #06, heads into the next Congress with 4 of its 7 in the Democratic Party’s column.)

 

[CoolBlue71]

In terms of votes, Republicans got about 46% of the total votes. The majority of the population is represented by Democrats in the Senate but because the low population States are generally Republican, the Republicans hold the majority.

The 2018 Democrats need to win the U.S. Popular Vote, for U.S. House, by at least +5.5. For a whole-number target margin: +6. All the votes are not in, throughout the nation, but the exit polls are indicating the 2018 Democrats won nationally the U.S. House by approximately +8. It was a near 9-point national shift (from 2016, which they lost by –1.08). It looks like the Democrats will get a net gain of about +35 seats. It may be closer to +40. So, given the historical [1946, 1954, 1994, 2006, and 2010] average of +3.64 seats in net gains (per percentage points nationally shifted), I can estimate 3.64 x 9.08 = +33. But, the 2018 Democrats probably won the U.S. Popular Vote, for U.S. House, by closer to +8.50. And that they may have average a bit more than that +3.64 with each nationally shifted percentage point.

Here is some information (as of 11.08.2018 @ 04:30 p.m. ET):

2018 U.S. HOUSE — GENDER VOTE
• Male (48): Republican 51% Democratic 47% (R+4)
• Female (52): Republican 40% Democratic 59% (D+19)
• Republican Votes: .48 x 51% = 24.48; .52 x 40 = 20.80; 24.48 + 20.80 = 45.28%
• Democratic Votes: .48 x .47 = 22.56%; .52 x .59 = 30.68; 22.56 + 30.68 = 53.24%
• Margin: Democratic +7.96
• 2016 to 2018 Shift: Democratic +9.04

2018 U.S. HOUSE — PARTY ID
• Republican (33): Republican 94% Democratic 06% (R+88)
• Democratic (37): Republican 04% Democratic 95% (D+91)
• Independent (30): Republican 42% Democratic 54% (D+12)
• Republican Votes .33 x 94 = 31.02%; .37 x 04 = 1.48%; .30 x 42 = 12.60; 31.02 + 1.48 + 12.60 = 45.10%
• Democratic Votes: .33 x 06 = 1.98%; .37 x 95 = 35.15%; .30 x 54 = 16.20%; 1.98 + 35.15 + 16.20 = 53.33%
• Margin: Democratic +8.23
• 2016 to 2018 Shift: Democratic +9.31


Status (11.08.2018 @ 04:30 p.m. ET) — ABC News
• Republican 200
• Democratic 225
•. Not Called: 10
• Net Gain: Democratic +30
• To Be Determined: Republican 200 to 210 vs. Democratic 225 to 235
• Estimate: Democratic 230 to 234


U.S. HOUSE RACES NOT YET CALLED
• California #10 — Leaning Republican (Hold)
• California #39 — Leaning Republican (Hold)
• California #45 — Leaning Republican (Hold)
• California #48 — Leaning Democratic (Pickup)
• California #49 — Leaning Democratic (Pickup)
• Maine #02 — Tossup; CNN.com reports 48% of the vote is in; 800-vote Republican lead
• Minnesota #01 — Leaning Republican (Pickup)
• New Jersey #03 — Leaning Democratic (Pickup)
• New Mexico #02 — Leaning Democratic (Pickup)
• Utah #04 — Leaning Democratic (Pickup)

A lot of these races are 99 or 100 percent in. It looks like the 2018 Democrats will get at least 231 seats. Maine #02 is very possible. Some of the Lean Republicans, from California, are not definite. So, they appear to lean that way—as others lean the other way.

The race for Georgia #06—Republican incumbent Karen Handel vs. Democratic challenger Lisa McBath—was projected today as a Democratic pickup.

If New Mexico #02 flips, the Democratic Party will have all the state’s congressional districts, its two U.S. Senate seats, and its pickup of the governorship in the party’s column.

 

[rareboy]

 

[CoolBlue71]

U.S. HOUSE RACES NOT YET CALLED
• California #10 — Leaning Republican (Hold)
• California #39 — Leaning Republican (Hold)
• California #45 — Leaning Republican (Hold)
• California #48 — Leaning Democratic (Pickup)
• California #49 — Leaning Democratic (Pickup)
• Maine #02 — Tossup; CNN.com reports 48% of the vote is in; 800-vote Republican lead
• Minnesota #01 — Leaning Republican (Pickup)
• New Jersey #03 — Leaning Democratic (Pickup)
• New Mexico #02 — Leaning Democratic (Pickup)
• Utah #04 — Leaning Democratic (Pickup)

UPDATE 11.10.2018 @ 01:30 p.m. ET: When I posted the above, California #10 had not been fully counted. It still hasn’t been called. But, it turns out the Democratic nominee, Josh Harder, overtook the lead from Republican incumbent Jeff Denham. That district will likely flip Democratic. At least one source already called New Mexico #02 as a Democratic pickup for Xochiti Torres Small. In his post-election press conference, President Trump wrote off Utah #04 as a Democratic pickup for Salt Lake City mayor Ben McAdams unseating Republican incumbent Mia Love. ABC News projected Minnesota #01 a Republican pickup for Jim Hagedorn. (There were no more than three Republican counterflips to the Democrats having flipped the U.S. House.) Maine #02 is still slightly below 50 percent of precincts reporting. That race was considered, prior to the election, one that would flip Democratic. At this time, ABC News has Republicans at 201 vs. Democrats at 225. From the remaining nine, it looks like 6 or 7 more will end up in the column of the Democratic Party. The 2018 Democrats will likely enter the next Congress with a U.S. House majority which numbers either 232 or 233 seats. Their 2018 net gains will have been either +37 or +38.

 

[72-Jay]

I also did some searching just now and couldn't find anything specific.

The Windsor and Obergefell decisions came down after Polis entered Congress. Prior to that the term "partner" and "spouse" were used to refer to Reis. Polis tends to be private about his family, but if Polis and Reis married after the SCOTUS decisions (and while Polis was in Congress), the media surely would have picked up the story?

Yeah, I was thinking a story like that would be reported too even with Polis being private about his family life..

The fourth consecutive Democratic Party gubernatorial win in Colorado.
. ... .
Colorado has transformed from a Republican to a Lean Republican to a bellwether to now a Lean Democratic state.

Yep we've had Democrat governors for a while now. I think I've voted for every one of them too.

And yeah Colorado is now a more Democratic state .. driven mainly by the Denver & surrounding area.

 

[rareboy]

Rohrbacher has lost.

Now indict the fucker.

 

[novastar]

Why not voting is compulsory like here in Australia and many other countries ?
That way, people are forced to be abit more responsible about their own country's affairs.

Because we are FREE