The prop 8 oral arguments before the CA Supreme Court confirmed what I previously suspected.
The proponents will get standing.
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The prop 8 oral arguments before the CA Supreme Court confirmed what I previously suspected.
The proponents will get standing.
False alarm in Iowa. Even if Republicans do win the special election, resulting in a split chamber, legislation would require approval of both party leaders to be brought to the floor.
http://www.bleedingheartland.com/di...cing-iowa-senate-district-18-special-election
So barring the unlikely chance another Democratic senator resigns or dies, the vote will be pushed back another session and the soonest it could reach voters would be 2016 (assuming Republicans win both chambers in 2012 and keep their majorities in 2014).
It should be of note that the former Senator for District 18 (a moderate Republican named Mary Lumby) has a son running for a seat in the Iowa House. However, he is running as a Democrat. He says his mother (who passed away 2 years ago) would be ashamed to see what the Republican party has done/tries to do in Iowa now. He pointed to attempting to ban gay marriage as one such example.
New Hampshire House committee votes to re-ban gay marriage
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/14/us-gaymarriage-newhampshire-idUSTRE78D7EO20110914
Thinking about voting Republican?
See what happens.
It won't be repealed. Polls this year have shown consistently that New Hampshire residents oppose repeal of marriage equality by a 2-1 margin (including an even higher number of independents, a highly influential voting bloc in the state). The Speaker of the House and House Majority Leader in New Hampshire strongly do not want to waste any time on this.
Even if it does pass (highly unlikely to get a veto-override majority), our side is ready to sue, likely resulting in a stay of the law during the trial. It will be very easy to paint this as nothing more then anti-gay animus. The backers of repeal have even admitted that nothing bad has come out of gay marriage in New Hampshire.
Anything is possible with Republicans. They do have a veto-proof majority so they can repeal it if they want.
Hopefully the public opposition will be enough to dissuade them.
