Russian Invasion of Ukraine

[rareboy]

After RF stopped using SU 24 targeted boming raids this week after UA took down 3 with Patriots ($55 million each), UA did bag one SU 30 for Christmas eve.

Merry Fuckmas Putin.

 

[rareboy]

Also an SU 34. And 2 more cruise missiles.

 

[rareboy]

RuZZia has another new submarine...this time one loaded with Shahed drones that was parked in Feodosia, Crimea.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1739494678360170673

Other reoports say it was loaded with cruise missiles which might explain the more spectacular fireworks.

 

[rareboy]

Ropucha Class is a pretty pricey scow.

 

[rareboy]

One ship at a time.

 

[rareboy]

Chunks of the ship have been found throughout Feodosia....RF is saying though that it shot down the two UA fighter jets.

 

[rareboy]

Local sources in Crimea are confirming that the training ship UTS150 was also sunk in the port at Feodosia.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1739738745488753123

 

[rareboy]

And this shows the 'damaged' Ammo laden ship up close behind the 'rescue' ship.

33 crew missing, 23 injured and 1 declared dead. One assumes there's so little left of the 33 'missing' that they can't identify them.

 

[rareboy]

Evidence of what really happened.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1739545820779721137

 

[rareboy]

Partisans in Crimea report that the Kremlin has sent a lot of suits to Feodosia to find out who was to blame for the loss of the ships...with Putin wanting air defense punished by sending them to the front.

 

[rareboy]

More comparable satellite footage.

There was obviously a lot of stuff on the dock in earlier December...but hard to know if it was the ammunition to be loaded on the carrier...UA obviously was tracking though to make sure that when the ship was hit...it was likely fully loaded. So in addition to losing a very costly and hard to replace warship...all the ammo was also lost.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1740049503686889932

 

[rareboy]

rrrzzzia hit Ukraine with a record 158 missiles and shaheds last night...with only 114 taken down. As a result there were lots of damaged buildings and deaths across the entire country...

 

[rareboy]

One of rrrZZZia's missiles violated Polish airspace in the recent barrage.

Obviously it was possible to re-route because it then left Polish territory and did not apparently explode.

While Poland and NATO are nattering about this incursion today ...it will result in nothing but some calling in the Kremlin diplomats to tell them not to do it again.

 

[rareboy]

I have been pondering the attack and whether the Kremlin once again terrorizing Ukraine by hitting maternity hospitals, shopping malls and over 100 houses was a strategic mistake.

From Chris Schmitz on Musk's 'Z' site:

"Todays attack of Russia on #Ukraine was the biggest military failure of Russia in a long time.

The strategic balance has shifted after tonight, allow me to explain how Russia lost tonights "Billion Dollar Brawl" in a catastrophic manner.This attack involved a very substantial amount of weapons, fired in a time and space coordinated fashion on select targets.The idea behind such an attack against air defense is to overwhelm the defending side with force, in a so called "saturation attack".Any missle system only has a limited amount of ready to fire missles, before it needs to reload.The well known Patriot System has 4 Missles per Launcher Truck with PAC-2 Missles, and 16 with the smaller PAC-3 Missles.The IRIS-T System is similar, with 8 Ready to Fire Missles per Truck.

Once they are fired, you need to take a truck, reload the launcher with new "boxes", that are both the storage and launch container.So why did the strategic balance shift today? Russia has saved up cruise missiles and other missle assets for quite some time, to plan and execute this attack on critical civillian infrastructures of Ukraine.They have used their intelligence assets to try to understand how the Air Defence of Ukraine is structured.They have employed so called SEAD/DEAD Missions using Anti-Radiation Missles and Electronic Warfare, both aimed at rendering Air Defence ineffective and destroying it.

This was not "nothing", this was likely the best gameplan they could execute, with the assets available.Despite these efforts, they were only able to hit with less than 5% of the ordnance employed.Thats a failure of russian strategic aviation, and signals that Russia, despite gains on the ground, will no longer be able to massively attack ukrainian critial infrastructures.This would have been unthinkable a year ago, this is a huge triumph for #ukraine but also the countries supporting it."

rrrzzzia may have just triggered enough support in Congress to provide the funding needed...there will also now be likely more anti-rrrzzzian sentiment in Poland...after the reminder that they are also in the line of fire.

It should also hasten the decision of the G7 to transfer the 300 Billion in frozen rrrZZZain assets to Ukraine's use.

 

[rareboy]

Already today, Britain has committed to sending hundreds more air defense missiles.

The UA missiles and drones all seem to be getting shot down inside rrrZZia which seems to indicate they have overcome some of the weaknesses of their air defense.

 

[rareboy]

wah wah wah

UA hit Belgorod in rrrZZia and naturally now, rrrrZZIa is the victim....

Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zakharova accused UK in being behind Ukraine in an attack in Belgorod and is calling for meeting of UNSC....

Ukraine needs to take the bombing to the rrrJJJianz all along the border and inflict equal damage on their cities and people... ideally right into the heart of Mokba.

 

[rareboy]

it is pretty clear that rrrZZia is using more and more untrained or poorly trained conscripts. It is one of the reasons they want to make the conflict end by massive bombing attacks.

So far though...it doesn't seem to matter to the rrrzzinz that almost 360,000 men have been killed or seriously injured. There aren't the heroic presentations of bags of food circulating as much though now.

The war will only end when the middle class rrrshns from St. Petersgrad and Mokba are forced to the front.

 

[rareboy]

And now it is being called into question whether UA actually did fire into Belgorod or whether the Kremlin created a false flag operation to justify the shelling of Kharkiv.

One of then reasons for the question is that the hits make no real sense...and UA is usually very good at hitting the military targets it wants.

Some think that with the outrage over Wednesday's massive attack...the Kremlin is now just flooding the zone with bullshit.

 

[rareboy]

Some feel good pics for the year end. The once mighty fortress headquarters of the Black Sea Fleet...still sitting derelict after the UA strike.

 

[rareboy]

rrrZZZia flooded the skies with Shaheds again last night....mostly aimed at frontline defensive positions...and only about half were shot down.