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Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Separated out from the aggregated daily stats, we can see the impact of UA on the left bank of the Dnipro over recent days. Hopefully they will track the progress ever couple of days.

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Quiet day yesterday. RF put their efforts into launching 38 drones at infrastructure. 29 were shot down.

Rf keeps pushing at Adviivka and are now sending more men and equipment to hold the M14 in Kherson. Lots of which, the UA is destroying.

UA has made some verified gains at the Zaporizhzhia front.

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UA continues to hammer away at Rf on all fronts...the Rxxxzki milibloggers are now talking about how badly things are going for them at Krynky on the left bank

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Great footage yesterday of a rrrZZZn base at an airfield in Kherson region being blown to shit by JDAMs. Otherwise, pretty quiet day. Currently there are no ships carrying missiles in the Black Sea.

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RzzzN occupation authorities have evacuated from Oleshky farther south in Kherson.

Having flooded the town when they blew up the Khakhova dam and being battered by UA shelling, there likely isn't much left of Oleshky now.

But it is a sweet piece of news because this is what happened as RF lost all of Kherson on the right bank of the Dnipro. We'll know when they have decided they are never returning because they will steal the last of everything that can be loaded up and hauled away and will start to shell what is left of the town.
 
The US stepped up again today:

Best one is another HIMARS.

This is at least a stopgap until Congress sorts their shit out, hopefully.

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UA continues to make small gains along the Dnipro and the rrrZZn miliblogger, Wargonzo, is sounding the warning about the trouble RF will be in if M14 is cut.

It also looks like the M17 axis, which connects from the south to M14 is a target with the attacks on rrZZnz positioned along it.


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More signs of rrrZZn retreat and desperation on the left bank

This morning, the russians shelled the village of Kozacha Lopan, which is right in the path of the UA advance.

AS I noted yesterday, when rrrZZia knows it is losing a place, it will start to bomb the shit out of it.
 
A more active day yesterday, but no real gains or losses for either RF or UA held territory. As winter sets in, it could be literally a frozen conflict.


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Apparently the current configuration of area of control for UA and RF.

The rrrZZZn bloggers are talking about the UA attempting to move through the forest to cut off the M14. Even getting it totally under fire control would hurt the RF.

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More engagements...more RF losses. Which Putin apparently just shrugs off as 'unfortunate', saying that the Kremlin is ready to negotiate but Ukraine is to blame.

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And I am in a black rage today...

Lithuanian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Gabrielus Landsbergis, said that Ukraine's lack of missile systems and ammunition, as well as the months-long decision-making process in the EU, can put Ukraine in a position where it will have to ask for peace.

All along, I have been frustrated as the west just drags its heels.

And that in the end, all the thousands of dead Ukrainians will have been for nothing because of the tepid response by Europe and the other western countries.

This war could have been over months ago if the F16's and all the weapons had been supplied. At once.

Lithuania should bear in mind that if Ukraine asks for peace, Lithuania is still firmly in the sights of the Kremlin.
 
I see that the president of Lithuania has now made a visit to Ukraine...likely to demonstrate continued support.

Meanwhile...China and Rrzzzja are in discussions about building a tunnel to connect Crimea to rrrzia.

And more dead rxzznz as the push at Adviivka continues.

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71 out of 75 Shahed drones shot down....an incredible record for such a huge onslaught.

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Otherwise, yesterday was not a great day...RF increased aerial bombing in Kherson region and keep pressing hard at Adviivka because Putin is desperate for any victory at this point.

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Interesting insight into rrrZZZja's movements.

The RF must be stretched because they could likely move these systems from the eastern regions without any risk at all. Which would likely indicate they have and are now having to dip deep to backfill losses. On the other hand, rrrZZia knows full well that Kaliningrad is actually protected on three sides by NATO partners who won't attack it if RRzzzia does not attack a NATO member state first.

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The number of Shahed drones taken out yesterday is scary. And the use now of black drones may make them harder to spot at night.

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Sundays are usually a little quieter and with the storms in Crimea and Ukraine...the war will soon be 'frozen' at the fronts.

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